Showing posts with label wagers. Show all posts
Showing posts with label wagers. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 19, 2013

Follow The Money: All-weather wagers

"Returning from a 172 day lay-off the market confidence speaks volumes for Mizyen's chances and the step up in trip should suit."

Back Mizyen @ 3.211/5 in the 15:00 at Wolverhampton 

Today's Follow The Money comes from the meetings at Kempton and Wolverhampton.

We go first to Wolverhampton for the 15:00 1m Handicap where selection Mizyen has come in for steady support today. Backed from 5.39/2 in to 3.211/5 the selection is strongly fancied to get off the mark on his all weather debut. Returning from a 172 day lay-off the market confidence speaks volumes and the step up in trip should suit. Market rival Darkest Night has been steadily going up in the weights after recent consistent performances with two wins and three places in his last five starts. However, Darkest Night hung badly inside the final furlong over C&D 17 days ago and was a soundly beaten second. A similar performance should allow our selection to dominate proceedings.

Over to Kempton and the 15:20 over 1m2f where today's negative is market leader Flamborough Breeze out to 4.57/2 from 2.89/5.  Always tactically held up, a slow pace today would hamper his chances and the selection has yet to score over 1m2f in three attempts with 1m being his optimum trip. In a competitive race others make more appeal and were happening to take on the selection. 

Next up is the 18:00 Handicap at Wolverhampton also over 1m. Selection Mayan Flight has seen significant support with the price plunging from 10.71n/a to the current available odds 5.69/2. Following a disappointing start to 2013, placing last of 12 in January and 10th at Kempton in Febuary, this month's fifth place at Wolverhampton was much more encouraging. Having been held up by Gary Philips the selection was making headway over two furlongs out but was unable to get a clear run from around a furlong out.

Recommended Bets
Back Mizyen @ 3.211/5 in the 15:00 at Wolverhampton 
Lay Flamborough Breeze @ 4.57/2 in the 15:20 at Kempton
Back Mayan Flight @ 5.69/2 in the 18:00 at Wolverhampton 

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Friday, February 3, 2012

Follow The Money: All-weather wagers

Follow the Money RSS / / 02 February 2012 / Leave a Comment

It's back to the sand with cold weather claiming the meetings at Towcester and Wincanton

It's back to the sand with cold weather claiming the meetings at Towcester and Wincanton

"Still lightly raced compared to a number of today's opponents, it could be that there is more improvement still to come from No Mean Trick."

Today's Follow the Money comes from Southwell and Wolverhampton.

We start with the 13:30 at Southwell where there has been a move for No Mean Trick who has been backed from [5.2] in to [4.2]. Paul Midgley's runner has a consistent record on the all-weather having won over course and distance back in August. He then went on to win at Wolverhampton and has finished placed on his last two starts. Still lightly raced compared to a number of today's opponents, it could be that there is more improvement still to come from No Mean Trick.

Next we move to the 13:50 at Wolverhampton where Dancing Welcome has been drifting all morning from [3.15] out to [3.8]. Milton Bradley's runner is seeking a hat-trick of wins at this track having won twice over C&D last month. Both those wins were in fillies' only handicaps, so she could find it tougher against some male opposition and a 4lb rise means we are happy to oppose her at short prices today.

Our final selection is also from Southwell and in the 16:00 Suddenly Susan has been well supported, moving from [4.5] in to [2.9]. The Scott Dixon-trained filly is a dual winner over C&D, her last victory coming in December where she made all to record an easy five-length victory. She also used the same tactics to win at Southwell back in August and her last run at Wolverhampton suggests she is coming back to form. If she can ping the gates and dominate from the front she could be hard to catch once again.

Recommended Bets
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http://sports.betfair.com/Index.do?mi=104772881 &ex=1&origin=MRL&rfr=3013
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Today's Follow The Money comes from the meetings at Newcastle and Down Royal....

Today's Follow The Money comes from the meetings at Southwell and Taunton....

Two backs and one lay based on price movements on Betfair's racing markets. The reasons and the reasoning are explained by the Follow The Money crew......


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Thursday, May 5, 2011

Follow The Money: Three Wednesday Wagers

Follow the Money RSS / Follow The Money / 04 May 2011 / Leave a Comment

Will you follow the money to Chester?

Will you follow the money to Chester?

Wonder Of Wonders has been backed dramatically into [2.38] from an earlier [3.40].

Today's Follow The Money movers come from the meetings at Chester, Kelso and Southwell.

We start at Chester's flagship May Meeting where in the listed 14:20 Wonder Of Wonders has been backed dramatically into [2.38] from an earlier [3.40]. Aiden O'Brien has won this trial twice in the last three years and looks to have another prime contender with this well-bred filly. She was well-beaten first time out at Leopardstown but hit traffic at just the wrong time then and soon made amends with a smooth success at Tipperary that oozed class. O'Brien seems to have a high opinion of her, and she holds a number of eye-catching entries for later in the year so expect todays assignment to be a stepping stone to bigger things.

Switching codes now for today's negative and in Kelso's 14:35 2m handicap hurdle Fortuni has drifted noticeably in the betting out to [3.70] from [2.96].
The National Hunt exploits of Rose Dobbin's 5 year-old have failed to match the talent he displayed on the flat and he has not looked a natural at this game. He started odds-on favourite for a weak maiden over course and distance last time but found little under pressure and faded into 3rd, so he looks up against it switched to handicap company and is readily opposed.

Finally, over to Southwell and in the 15:20 1m handicap All Right Now has been well supported in to [4.70] from [7.20]. This four year-old from the Derek Haydn Jones yard seemed to really relish the fibresand when trying this track for the first time last month. Sent off at triple figure odds the gelding rallied in the straight to beat the odds-on favourite into 2nd place. Punters clearly believe there is more to come and although he gives weight away all round it may not be enough to stop him in this modest grade.

Recommended Bets
Back Wonder of Wonders @ [2.38] Chester 14.20
Lay Fortuni @ [3.70] Kelso 14.35
Back All Right Now @ [4.70] Southwell 15.20

Today's Follow The Money come from the meetings at Bath and Newcastle......

Find out which of Richard O'Hannon's horses has seen plenty of support today and which has been given the cold shoulder on the Betfair markets....

Today's Follow The Money comes from Salisbury, Newmarket and Hamilton....


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Monday, April 25, 2011

Follow The Money: Hot wagers!

Follow the Money RSS / Follow The Money / 23 April 2011 / Leave a Comment

Punters expect another defeat for Sanctuaire (red colours) today

Punters expect another defeat for Sanctuaire (red colours) today

"Agglestone Rock's latest effort over hurdles should be good enough to give him a chance here, but it was an emphatic 15 length win on the Flat last start which shows he’s in top form."

Today's Follow The Money comes from the meetings at Sandown and Haydock.

We start at Sandown where there has been a huge drift on Sanctuaire in the 13:30, moving from [1.73] out to [2.38]. Paul Nicholls' runner made a belated return to form at Ayr last week with an easy win, which could be down to his breathing operation. The concern with today's race is it will most likely be a tactical affair with the small field, and given Sanctuaire often doesn't settle in his races and it looks like punters don't want to risk backing him at short odds.

We stay at Sandown for our second bet where, in the 14:05, Kazzene has been heavily supported from [11.5] in to [5.3]. David Pipe's runner was decent on the flat in France before making a winning debut over hurdles at Kempton in January. He was disappointing last start but the betting suggests that a much better performance is expected today with the addition of blinkers on his handicap debut.

Finally we move to Haydock where in the 17:10 Agglestone Rock has seen solid support moving from [3.65] in to [2.52]. His latest effort over hurdles should be good enough to give him a chance here, but it was an emphatic 15 length win on the Flat last start which shows he's in top form. The going and distance looks fine for him so he can be supported with confidence today.

Recommended Bets
Lay Sanctuaire @ [2.38] Sandown 13:30
Back Kazzene @ [5.3] Sandown 14.05
Back Agglestone Rock @ [2.52] Haydock 17:10

Today's Follow The Money movers come from the meetings at Folkestone and Wincanton...

Today's Follow the Money comes from the cards at Southwell and Epsom......

Today's Follow the Money comes from the cards at Pontefract, Fontwell and Southwell....


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Monday, February 14, 2011

Timeform Radio Racing Tips: Wagers at Catterick and Plumpton

Timeform Radio Tip RSS / Graham Cunningham / 14 February 2011 / Leave a Comment

Both market leaders are of interest in the 14:50 handicap hurdle at Catterick

Both market leaders are of interest in the 14:50 handicap hurdle at Catterick

"Argentia has caught the eye travelling sweetly for a long way against useful rivals on both her last two starts and backing her at [14.0] or bigger with a view to trading out at [7.0] and [2.0] could be a value trade."

Graham Cunningham makes the picks today and he has many angles to consider including a potential big-priced In-Play punt

Things have been ticking along nicely for yours truly since the weather improved, but I can't see today being especially busy on the punting front and most of the races I've looked at haven't thrown up much.

That said, Plumpton's 14:00 does offer a couple of points of interest. Pepite Rose is trading at [1.67] here and I think she'll win.

However, Argentia has caught the eye travelling sweetly for a long way against useful rivals on both her last two starts and backing her at [14.0] or bigger with a view to trading out at [7.0] and [2.0] could be a value trade.

Recent rain at Catterick puts a different complexion on several races and the 14:50 is one in question.

Fujin Dancer caught the eye at Rasen, but his rider has yet to partner a winner and a split stakes play involving course winner Kings Counsel and back-to-form Pete could be the way forward.

Recommended Bets:
Plumpton 14:00: Back Pepite Rose at [1.66] or better and back Argentia at [14.0] or better with a view to laying off at [7.0] and [2.0]
Catterick 14:50: Back Pete and Kings Counsel at [5.8] and [6.6] or better

Graham Cunningham makes the picks today and he has many angles to consider including a potential big-priced In-Play punt...

David Cleary talks us through his two selections at Hereford....

Rory Delargy joins presenter Paul Jacobs for a packed afternoon's racing, bolstered by the rearranged Irish Hennessy meeting. Rory heads to Newbury's featured meeting for the day's best bets....


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Tuesday, February 8, 2011

Timeform Radio Racing Tips: A pair of Monday wagers

Timeform Radio Tip RSS / Editor / 07 February 2011 / Leave a Comment

Will it be a pair of late winter winners?

Will it be a pair of late winter winners?

"Carbon Print looks a value option at around [6.4] in a race which shouldn't take much winning."

TF Radio pundit Andrew Sheret makes the picks today

Carbon Print (15:00, Wolverhampton) hasn't got many miles on the clock for a 6yo and shaped well when a strong-travelling fourth over 2m at Kempton on his first Flat start for his current yard last time. The return to this slightly shorter trip should be ideal and he looks a value option at around [6.4] in a race which shouldn't take much winning.

Top Smart looks to have been found an ideal opportunity to get off the mark in the concluding handicap hurdle at Lingfield (16:45). Seamus Mullins' 5yo showed progressive form in 3 outings over hurdles in the autumn and promises to pull out more now upped in trip from what looks a fair opening handicap mark.


Recommended Bets:
Back Carbon Print @ [6.4] 15.00 Wolverhampton
Back Top Smart @ [3.0] 16.45 Lingfield

The Champion Chase could prove to be one of the races of the Festival, with dual winner Master Minded set to have another crack at the one who stole his crown last year, Big Zeb. However, Timeform reckon the value lies elsewhere.......

Timeform look back at Saturday's jumping......

Today's Follow The Money movers come from Lingfield and Wolverhampton....


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