Musselburgh Placepot: Wednesday February 12

Radio Nowhere jumped boldly at Newcastle and could have more to offer in this sphere so we will bank on him...

Musselburgh is the only course that can provide national hunt action on Wednesday and that is where we head for our Placepot attempt...

13:40- A tricky low-grade affair kicks things off and the first horse that we will side with is Tears From Heaven as he shaped with some promise here last month, proving that he still retains his ability. He seems to go well at this venue (won a three-mile handicap chase in 2012) and another bold bid looks likely. Fozy Moss has improved on his poor hurdles form since switched over fences and bounced back from some lesser efforts to score at Carlisle last week. Provided he has recovered from those exertions, he is likely to go well.

14:10- Fennell Bay was a useful Flat handicapper for Mark Johnston and he seems to have taken well to hurdling based on his easy success at Fakenham. He remains open to considerable progress in this sphere and is banker material.

14:40- Radio Nowhere finished fourth in a strong handicap hurdle at Doncaster and confirmed that he was back to form with a good second on his chasing debut at Newcastle. He jumped boldly on that occasion and could have more to offer in this sphere so we will bank on him in order to keep the lines down.

15:15- Willie Hall has found a bit of form of late, winning with more in hand than the bare margin would imply at Sedgefield last time, and he is the first horse worth turning to. He travelled extremely well at Sedgefield before idling markedly late on and seemed to have a bit up his sleeve. It is also worth including Some Lad as he was in good form when last seen in the spring and has gone well fresh in the past. 

15:50- Forced Family Fun made a successful handicap debut in a competitive-looking race at Doncaster last month, travelling well and showing a good turn of foot to quicken clear of the pack with another rival. He is likely to progress further and it is difficult to see him finishing out of the frame.

16:25- Golan Way is an interesting recruit to the Hunter Chase ranks and could take his rivals apart here, but, while he was generally tough and reliable under Rules, it is worth noting that he has refused to race before. With Golan Way likely to take up much of the pool, we will take him on with Habbie Simpson and Beggar's Velvet. Habbie Simpson was a useful hurdler as a novice and clearly retains some ability based on his win in this sphere at Wetherby last year, while Beggar's Velvet was fairly useful over fences and can make an impact in this type of race.

Selections:
13:40- 3, 5
14:10- 1
14:40- 6
15:15- 13, 14
15:50- 9 
16:25- 2, 3
= 8 lines 

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Evening Market Movers: Wednesday February 5

All the big movers ahead of an evening's racing at Kempton...

Kempton

17:00
Balatina 2.96 out to 4.3
Fantasy Invader 5.7 in to 3.95

17:30
Polydamos 4.8 in to 3.8
The Wonga Coup 8.4 in to 5.1
Somerton Star 9.6 out to 20.0

18:30
Labise 7.2 in to 5.3

19:00
Pool House 4.6 in to 2.74
Bint Malyana 2.86 out to 4.2

19:30
Confucius Legend 19.5 in to 11.0

20:00
Ex Ex 3.75 in to 2.42
Daring Dragon 5.5 out to 7.0
Burnhope 16.0 in to 10.0
Ghostwing 8.0 out to 16.0
Nelson Quay 34.0 in to 18.5
Prince Of Passion 11.5 out to 20.0
Dorback 16.0 out to 28.0

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Timeform UK SmartPlays: Wednesday February 12

"Radio Nowhere has been revitalised by the fitting of blinkers and put up a bold display of jumping on his chase debut at Newcastle..."

Timeform's three best bets for Wednesday all come from Musselburgh...

It's a handicap chase over two-and-a-half miles under consideration first (14:40) and it looks an interesting contest with a handful of contenders appealing as unexposed in this sphere. The pick of the bunch looks to be Radio Nowhere who has been revitalised by the fitting of blinkers and put up a bold display of jumping on his chase debut at Newcastle. He was narrowly touched off on that occasion and had run a creditable fourth over hurdles prior to that, suggesting Donald McCain may have got his measure. He looked a horse capable of significant improvement on his last start in December, and provided he's been freshened up over the intervening period he's capable of recording his first victory over the larger obstacles. There are others who merit respect in the shape of Hotgrove Boy and Brieryhill, both of whom are capable of better over fences too. 

Next up it's a handicap hurdle, also over two-and-a-half miles (15:15) and its another horse whose benefited from the application of headgear. The cheekpieces fitted to Willie Hall in his last two starts seem to have done the trick, bouncing back to form after a string of indifferent performances when third at Sedgefield a month ago, and then winning at the track a fortnight later. The result of this is that he remains potentially well treated the pick of his form, and provided he is willing to continue his resurgence for William Amos he could prove ahead of today's mark. He's given narrow preference to make it two in a row, although Tweedo Paradiso caught the eye at Catterick last time and Some Lad, back from a break, has an excellent record fresh. 

Our final bet of the day comes in the two-mile handicap hurdle (15:50) and the 8 lb rise Forced Family Fun received for his most recent win at Doncaster shouldn't be enough to prevent him from winning again here. He showed useful form on the flat, winning twice for Michael Bell and has proved equally adaptable for new handler John Quinn, who excels with these types. He made a winning start over jumps at Hexham before unseating in a minor event at Catterick. He was a creditable second in a similar contest next time out a Ffos Las, but put in a sterling effort on his handicap debut last time and has the profile and ability to make a significant impact in this sphere. He's taken to continue on his upward trajectory at the expense of today's opponents, although Figaro and Roman Flight are both worth bearing in mind. 

Timeform UK SmartPlays:
All at Musselburgh

Back Radio Nowhere @ 5.85/1 in the 14:40
Back Willie Hall @ 7.26/1 in the 15:15
Back Forced Family Fun @ 3.711/4 in the 15:50

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Sheffield Wednesday v Leeds: Lay both teams to score at Hillsborough

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Market Movers: Wednesday, January 1

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Timeform Radio Tips: Wednesday July 24

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Market Movers: Wednesday July 24

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Timeform Daily: Wednesday, Lingfield 15:00

"Highly Likely needs to prove he can cope with turf, but he's thrived in the care of Steve Woodman, and gets the benefit of the doubt..."

Timeform analyse the runner for Wednesday's 15:00 at Lingfield, a handicap over a mile and three furlongs...

Hurakan improved to win at Sandown (1¼m) in July and not disgraced final 3 starts in 2012. Nothing wrong with 2 comeback efforts in recent weeks either, and ought to be in the mix once more.

Double Cee won 3 times at up to 9f last year for Richard Fahey, but ended season out of form, and not fired over hurdles for new yard. Tailed off on return to Flat at Windsor, and plenty to prove now.

Foxhaven is a multiple turf winner who took advantage of a drop in the weights to win an 11f handicap at Kempton last month. Vulnerable off revised mark back on turf, but shouldn't be disgraced.

Steely improved for this yard in 2012, winning twice prior to good third in a 1¾m Salisbury handicap in July, Not straightforward, though, and well beaten either side of seasonal break.

Jolly Roger was much improved to land 6-timer over hurdles last summer, but hasn't looked ready to strike of what appears to be a lenient Flat mark, finishing only seventh of 10 at Newbury last time.

Highly Likely has got back to best for current yard, runner-up at Kempton 3 of last 5 starts, and shed maiden status when winning AW handicap here last month from Gladstone. Form on turf patchy, but should do better.

Drummond is still a maiden. Best effort this season when 2½ lengths fourth of 10 to Tawseef in handicap at Chepstow last time. Well treated on pick of 2012 efforts if he can build on that now.

Timeform 1-2-3:
1. Highly Likely
2. Hurakan
3. Foxhaven

Timeform Verdict: Highly Likely needs to prove he can cope with turf, but he's thrived in the care of Steve Woodman, and gets the benefit of the doubt. Hurakan is preferred to Foxhaven and Drummond for minor honours.

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Sectional Debrief: Kempton, Wednesday May 8

"What is clear from the sectionals is that Tajheez is quite a bit better than those who chased him home..."

Simon Rowlands returns with his latest sectional analysis...

Regular readers of these Sectional Debriefs will know the score by now: the table below identifies the general run of the races, and sectional rating for the winners of those races, based on the fact that how a horse achieves an overall time affects what that time is. 

The good news for those coming late to the party is that past Sectional Debriefs can be found elsewhere on this site; the bad news is that you have already missed a couple of nice winners - Spillway and Fig Roll - since this series began a few weeks ago!

Kempton's Wednesday evening meeting had a majority of steadily-run (or even slowly-run) races, as shown by the high finishing speed %s and commensurately high sectional mark-ups in the table. The exceptions are the first and last two races: those last two races resulted in decent overall times and even better sectional ratings, but that first race did not.

There is no apparent reason why the Tagalaka time was so modest, for it was not an obvious function of the pace of the race. As a result, the winner goes on the "to oppose" list. Indeed, the whole race is worth viewing with some suspicion. 

Cape Alex ran close to par in winning the 12f handicap (third-placed Time Square went a bit faster than ideal in front) and sectional mark-ups for all the runners are small. This looks solid form, but there are no obvious eye-catchers, in other words.

The 7f minor contest won by Double Your Money is quite a bit more interesting, however. The winner set a decent pace but was given a bit too much rope, and third-placed Kabbaas (86 sectional rating) and fourth-placed Singersongwriter (88 sectional rating) did well given how things unfolded. Singersongwriter (who posted roughly 34.9s final 3f) had a BHA mark of 74 prior to this and is especially interesting. 

The other horse to take from proceedings is Tajheez, the short-priced winner of the 11f handicap. The sectional adjustment does not bridge the gap between his overall time and the time that could be expected of a horse with his ability, but it comes close. What is clear from the sectionals is that Tajheez (roughly 36.0s final 3f) is quite a bit better than those who chased him home. Rating him 6 lb better than the result is realistic, and that could be enough to see him follow up in similar company.  

To Follow: Singersongwriter, Tajheez
To Oppose: Tagalaka 

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Evening Market Movers: Wednesday May 8

All the betting moves ahead of the evening racing at Newcastle, Kempton and Gowran Park

Newcastle
18.30
Sound Advice 3.75 out to 4.5
Hierarch 6.5 in to 4.3
King Pin 5.83 out to 7.8

19.00
Divergence 2.86 out to 4.9

19.30
Naburn 3.91 in to 2.66
Bright Applause 5.0 in to 4.0
Looks Like Rain 6.53 out to 11.5

20.00 
Jeannie Galloway 8.86 in to 7.4

20.30
Ersaal 5.66 in to 4.4

Kempton
18.10
Imaginary World 4.2 out to 5.2
Balady 14.0 in to 6.4

18.40
Tajheez 4.5 in to 3.15
Streak 3.15 out to 4.8

19.10
Hold On Tight 1.92 out to 2.46
Foxtrot Jubilee 5.6 in to 4.1

20.10
Moment in the Sun 3.9 out to 5.0

20.40
Singersongwriter 3.0 in to 2.06
Double your Money 9.0 in to 5.5

Gowran Park
17.15
Mahon 6.8 out to 11.5

18.50
Vasoni 10.39 in to 7.0

20.20
Daluka 3.27 in to 2.94

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Peterborough v Sheffield Wednesday: Tight affair in prospect

"Dave Jones' men have been solid on their travels this season, conceding just 25 goals, fewer than everybody in the league bar Charlton."

Back under 2.5 goals at 2.01/1

Andy Tongue expects goals to be at a premium at London Road with the stakes so high...

Peterborough v Sheffield Wednesday
Saturday 17:20, Live on Sky Sports 2

After Friday night's action at the top of the table, attention switches to the relegation battle in the second televised Championship game of the weekend as Posh host fellow strugglers Wednesday.

Peterborough

Having looked relegation material for much of the season, Darren Ferguson's side find themselves out of the bottom three on goal difference with two games remaining. By the time we kick off here, though, both Wolves and Barnsley, who also have 51 points, could have climbed above them. Posh are unbeaten in five at London Road now, including wins over both Cardiff and Watford, though they still have the worst home record over the course of the season. Backing over 2.5 goals was previously pretty much a given in games involving Posh but having not had a goalless draw for more than three years until last month, like a London bus, three have recently arrived in quick succession.

Sheffield Wednesday

A run of just one defeat in seven means Wednesday now have 55 points, four more than today's opponents, Wolves and Barnsley and a win here would guarantee their safety while a point would go a long way towards doing so. They could still lose their last two and be okay depending on other results. Leroy Lita's arrival on loan in January has gone a long way to solving their goalscoring problem and he has struck six times in his 12 starts. Dave Jones' men have been solid on their travels this season, conceding just 25 goals, fewer than everybody in the league bar Charlton.

Under/Over 2.5 Goals

Wednesday are solid enough at the back while Posh are not quite the same free-scoring, defensively-loose side they were earlier in the season. This is sure to be a tense affair and the visitors will be more than happy with a point, which makes under 2.5 goals an attractive bet at 2.01/1.

Correct Score

The visitors have shown an admirable appetite to scrap for their boss Jones. It's not pretty on the eye but survival in the first season back in the second tier would be seen as a good achievement and a draw here would all but ensure that. A small play on 1-1 at 7.413/2 is advised.

Recommended Bets

Back under 2.5 Goals at 2.01/1
Back 1-1 correct score at 7.413/2

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The Big Wednesday Multiple: Barcelona to kick off a 7/1 shot

"Back Barcelona @ 1.36 (4/11);

Back Brentford @ 2.05 (21/20);

Back Over 2.5 Goals in Partick v Morton @ 1.72 (8/11);

Back Under 2.5 Goals in Real Garcilaso v Cerro Porteno @ 1.66 (4/6);

The Multiple pays approximately 8.05 (7/1)"

It's that time of the week where Paul Robinson selects a home win, an away win, a match to go over 2.5 goals and a match to go under 2.5 goals. Here are his selections: 

Bet 1: Barcelona (HOME) @ 1.36 (4/11) - Sky Sports Two at 19:45

Barcelona will likely be without Lionel Messi, at least from the start, for their Champions League quarter-final second leg against PSG but I'm more than confident that they will get the win and progress to the last four.

The match in Paris finished 2-2 last week but the 2011 winners dominated large portions of that game and it took a late goal to deny them victory. Lionel Messi went off injured at half time and while he has trained with the squad, it is highly likely that he will be on the bench at best for Barca. 

In any event, Cesc Fabregas played the false nine role against Mallorca on Saturday and he scored three and set another up. With the likes of David Villa and Andres Iniesta in the team, Barcelona have more than enough firepower to continue their incredible home record in the Champions League.

PSG have done well to reach the last eight given that it's their first appearance in Europe's elite club competition since 2004. They have of course spent plenty of money, but then so did Manchester City and they have gone out in the group phase for two years straight.

Zlatan Ibrahimovic is the key man and while he will want to shoot down his former side, I just don't think the midfield will be able to cope with that of their opponents, especially as Blaise Matuidi is suspended. 

Bet 2: Brentford (AWAY) @ 2.05 (21/20)  

Our away win comes from slightly less glamorous surroundings as promotion chasing Brentford travel to Crewe, knowing that three points will take them into third place and within striking distance of the top two.

The Bees have been buzzing this season under the stewardship of Uwe Rosler. The German has got a fantastic chance of leading them into the Championship as if they win their games in hand, they will be in second position, just a single point off Doncaster who are top.

They need to put a couple of poor results behind them though - a loss at MK Dons and then a draw at Coventry. They have been much stronger at home and their recent away stats haven't been that great, however I think that now we're at the business end of the campaign, their class and will to win will shine through.

A further reason why I think that they will take all three points tonight is that Crewe lifted the Johnstone's Paint Trophy at Wembley on Sunday and it will be hard for the players to get up for this clash, especially as they have little to play for in the league.

Steve Davis' men have been in decent form lately but I have my suspicions that the players were putting in that extra bit of effort to try and make the Wembley starting XI and now that it's over, they could go into 'holiday mode' something that Swansea have done since lifting the Capital One Cup.

Bet 3: Partick v Morton (Over 2.5 goals) @ 1.72 (8/11)  

Our search for goals lands us in Scotland as Partick Thistle host Greenock Morton in a mouth-watering top of the table clash in the First Division.

Partick are top and they will want to stay there as only one team get promoted to the Premier Division. They have a two point cushion over tonight's opponents in second, and they have a game in hand. 

Alan Archibald has had a fantastic run since being appointed manager in January and he is yet to lose a game in the league - winning eight and drawing two. 

As far as the goals go, Thistle's fixtures have been averaging 3.07 per 90 minutes, with 19 of their 30 going over 2.5, including 12 of their 15 at Firhill Stadium.

Greenock really need to win this evening as even if they draw, it's unlikely that Partick will drop enough points in their remaining five matches to surrender first place and promotion to the top flight.

While Alan Moore's side have lost two of their last three on the road, those are their only away defeats this season, so it's not beyond the realms of possibility that they can pull it off.

One thing they have in their favour is their firepower away from Cappielow Park. The Ton haven't failed to score yet this term and they have netted 13 in their last five, including four at both Airdrie and Dunfermline.

Bet 4: Real Garcilaso v Cerro Porteno (Under 2.5 goals) @ 1.66 (4/6) - Betfair Live Video at 23:45

We finish with a late kick-off in Peru as Real Garcilaso host Cerro Porteno in a Copa Libertadores Group Six clash.

Real Garcilaso could really do with a win tonight as it would move them into second place, three points ahead of Deportes Tolima with just one game remaining. As that game would be away at Santa Fe, anything other than victory would leave them with a bit of a mountain to climb as you would have to assume that Tolima would beat Cerro Porteno in their final fixture.

Freddy García's should win, they are red-hot favourites to do so, but I can't see them scoring too many goals. They have netted just three times from four games in this competition this season, with two of those coming away from home. They won the reverse fixture 1-0, but it took an 88th minute winner to do so.

Cerro Porteno are the group's whipping boys as they have lost all four matches thus far. In fairness to them though, they haven't been getting thrashed and all of the defeats were by a single goal margin. 

The Paraguayan outfit have been regulars in the Libertadores over the past few years and it's interesting to note that since 2010, eight of their 12 matches away from Estadio General Pablo Rojas have gone under 2.5 goals.

Recommended Multiple
Back Barcelona @ 1.36 (4/11); Back Brentford @ 2.05 (21/20); Back Over 2.5 Goals in Partick v Morton @ 1.72 (8/11); Back Under 2.5 Goals in Real Garcilaso v Cerro Porteno @ 1.66 (4/6); The Multiple pays approximately 8.05 (7/1)

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Timeform US SmartPlays: Wednesday April 10

Our North American team, currently four from six for the week, give three more bets...

Keeneland race 7 (21:11 BST) win back #10 POSITIVELY at 4.57/2 or longer
Hawthorne race 6 (22:12 BST) win lay #1 WILD FRANCES at 3.02/1 or shorter
Charles Town race 1 (00:15 BST) win back #5 SALTY EMPEROR at 3.55/2 or longer

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Market Movers: Wednesday, April 10

Today's market movers come from the afternoon meetings at Catterick, Lingfield, and Nottingham...

Catterick

14:20
Poppy Bond 8.8 into 6.4
Secret Advice 3.8 out to 9.0
Ridgeblade 30.0 into 11.0

15:20
Sardanapalus 8.2 into 5.0
Pravda Street 5.8 out to 9.8

15:50
Hit The Lights 3.95 into 2.92

16:20
The Blue Banana 11.5 into 8.4
Snow Bay 13.0 into 9.2

16:50
Arizona John 8.0 into 5.4
The Fun Crusher 7.8 into 6.2

17:20
Knightly Escapade 7.68 into 4.2

Lingfield

14:00
Titan Diamond 6.0 into 4.4
Archelao 11.0 into 7.6

14:30
Custom House 11.5 into 6.8
Legal Legacy 10.0 into 7.2

15:00
Commanche 3.0 out to 3.65

15:30
King Bertie 2.25 out to 2.88
Intrigo 4.67 into 3.5
Barbs Princess 5.1 out to 7.8
Lionheart 11.0 into 6.8

16:00
Melvin The Grate 3.1 out to 3.6
A Ladies Man 6.6 into 4.4
Intimidate 4.4 out to 8.2
Surge Ahead 15.0 into 9.4
Fortinbrass 17.5 into 10.0

17:00
Refreshestheparts 3.3 into 2.52
Yojojo 2.32 out to 2.68

Nottingham

14:10
Elhaame 2.02 into 1.63
Stepping Ahead 8.2 into 6.0
Magic Lando 4.4 out to 11.5

14:40
Moviesta 8.8 into 5.2

15:40
Sir Graham Wade 2.3 out to 2.62
Testosterone 4.1 into 3.5
Cavaleiro 7.2 into 5.9

16:40
Singersongwriter 2.5 into 1.82

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The Big Wednesday Multiple: British teams in an 8/1 shot

"Back Juventus @ 1.4 (2/5);

Back St Mirren @ 2.2 (6/5);

Back Over 2.5 Goals in Bristol Rovers v Exeter @ 1.85 (17/20);

Back Under 2.5 Goals in Notts County v Leyton Orient @ 1.65 (13/20);

The Multiple pays approximately 9.2 (8/1)"

It's Wednesday, so that means it's that time of the week where Paul Robinson selects a home win, an away win, a match to go over 2.5 goals and a match to go under 2.5 goals. Here are his selections: 

Bet 1: Juventus (HOME) @ 1.4 (2/5) - Live on Sky Sports Two at 19:45

We start in Turin as Juventus should record a relatively straightforward win over Celtic.

The Old Lady won 3-0 at Celtic Park and while the scoreline probably flattered them, their extra class and streetwise players proved the difference. Obviously they don't need to win tonight to progress, but it's almost unfathomable that they'll fail to do so given their continued strong form in front of their own fans.

Antonio Conte will also want to take some momentum through to their Serie A clash with Catania at the weekend as they are only six points clear of Napoli in the league, so any slip up could prove costly.

Celtic have exceeded expectations in this competition this year, with the undoubted highlight being the victory over Barcelona in Glasgow. Neil Lennon's side have performed with real credit but this will be more of a respectability mission.

Their odds are short at 1.4 (2/5) but that still looks like value to me and it should give us a comfortable home victory.

Bet 2: St Mirren (AWAY) @ 2.2 (6/5)  

Our away leg comes from Scotland as St Mirren travel to rock bottom Dundee in the Clydesdale Bank Premier Division. The Saints aren't doing much better themselves but they've already won at this ground this season and their odds are just too big to refuse.

Dundee have found it tough going back in the top flight and John Brown's men have only managed to amass 15 points from a possible 84. They haven't won a league game since November - a run of 14 matches - and their draw last time out was their first point since January.

Their stats don't read much better at Dens Park as of the 13 fixtures they've played there this term, nine have ended in defeat, including a 2-0 loss against tonight's opponents back in August.

St Mirren may well be second from bottom but they are 17 points clear of Dundee and only seven points adrift of the top half with a game in hand. Victory this evening would see them move up to 10th and still give them an outside shot of qualifying for the Championship Round.

Danny Lennon's team put successive defeats behind them by beating Hearts 2-0 in their last league outing and while they may have won just twice away from Paisley this season, they have an excellent shot of gaining a third in this one.

Bet 3: Bristol Rovers v Exeter (Over 2.5 goals) @ 1.85 (17/20)  

Our hunt for goals takes us to England's League Two as Bristol Rovers take on the in-form Exeter City. 

Rovers are 15th in the table but they're still not quite safe from relegation as they only have a six point cushion over Plymouth and Wimbledon. Conceding too many goals has been their main problem as with 56 in the against column, only two teams have a worse defensive record.

John Ward's side did manage to keep a clean sheet last time out at home to Burton, but even then they scored three goals themselves so the game went over the required 2.5 goals. In fact, nine of their last dozen at the Memorial Stadium have had three or more, and their matches this year are averaging 2.89 goals each time.

Exeter were relegated from League One but they're making a decent push to go straight back up. Paul Tisdale has his team in the final play-off place, seven points clear of Southend in eighth, while only three points adrift of Cheltenham in third, with two games in hand.

The Grecians have won four of their last five, scoring 12 goals in the process, while five of their last eight on the road have gone over 2.5. This season's average is similar to their opponents, currently standing at 2.83, so the statistics would point to plenty of goals going in tonight.

Bet 4: Notts County v Leyton Orient (Under 2.5 goals) @ 1.65 (13/20)  

We finish in England's League One as Notts County and Leyton Orient do battle in what I hope will be somewhat of a dour encounter.

County are in 10th place but if they win their game in hand tonight then they will move to within five points of Tranmere in sixth and keep their slim promotion hopes alive. Winning has been a bit of an issue for them though this term as while they've only lost nine, they've drawn a few too many matches.

As far as the goals go, their matches are averaging 2.49 per 90 minutes, with 20 of their 35 going under 2.5, and four of their last five at Meadow Lane suffering the same fate.

Leyton Orient are only two points behind their opponents but even a victory tonight would probably still leave them a bit too far back to make the play-offs. Russell Slade's men broke a four match winless streak last time out by despatching Bournemouth 3-1, but four goals in one game is a rarity with The O's as their matches are only averaging 2.29 goals each time, with 21 of their 35 having two or less.

Recommended Multiple
Back Juventus @ 1.4 (2/5); Back St Mirren @ 2.2 (6/5); Back Over 2.5 Goals in Bristol Rovers v Exeter @ 1.85 (17/20); Back Under 2.5 Goals in Notts County v Leyton Orient @ 1.65 (13/20); The Multiple pays approximately 9.2 (8/1)

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Timeform US SmartPlays: Wednesday March 6

Timeform's US team kept their good run of form going, and they bring you three bets on Wednesday...

Tampa Bay race 8 (21:15 GMT) win back #4 VALIANT GIRL at 4.03/1 or longer
Tampa Bay race 9 (21:45 GMT) win back #9 TOCCET MAN at 4.03/1 or longer
Penn National race 7 (01:43GMT) win back #9 SURPRISE BUDDY at 3.412/5 or longer

Get FREE Timeform Star Ratings & Comments for the US & Canada at http://bit.ly/dP3Uvj.

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The Big Wednesday Multiple: Goals in El Clasico

"Back Everton @ 1.5 (1/2);

Back Tottenham @ 1.75 (3/4);

Back Over 2.5 Goals in Real Madrid v Barcelona @ 1.4 (2/5);

Back Under 2.5 Goals in Fulham v West Ham @ 1.95 (19/20);

The Multiple pays approximately 7.17 (6/1)"

It's that time of the week for the big Wednesday multiple as Paul Robinson selects a home win, an away win, a match to go over 2.5 goals and a match to go under 2.5 goals. Here are his selections:

Bet 1: Everton (HOME) @ 1.5 (1/2)  

Everton take on West Brom in the Premier League tonight and I'm backing them to give us our home victory of the week. 

The Toffees are undefeated in five matches in all competitions and they've only lost one of their last 13. They seem to have got out of their habit of drawing games that they should have won as they've recorded half a dozen victories in their last 10 outings.

At Goodison Park, Everton haven't managed to win either of their last two, but they played very well against Chelsea and before that they beat both Wigan and Spurs.

West Brom have started to slide down the table after their bright start and having picked up just a single point from a possible 12, they find themselves in ninth place. 

The Baggies have recently lost to Manchester United, Fulham and Reading and they had to come from two down to draw with Aston Villa last time out. 

Away from The Hawthorns, Steve Clarke's men have lost four of their last five, with the sole victory coming at rock bottom, QPR. They have  been shipping far too many goals - 21 in 11 away matches this season - and they are yet to keep a clean sheet.

Bet 2: Tottenham (AWAY) @ 1.75 (3/4)  

Tottenham and Norwich were both dumped out of the cup by lower league opposition at the weekend but The Canaries defeat was by far the worse result out of the two and coupled with their poor league form, I think Spurs are a good bet to get back on track here.

Norwich are in a right slump at the moment; knocked out of the FA Cup as mentioned above and just one point from a possible 18 in the league. Chris Hughton had appeared to turn things around as they went on a 10 match unbeaten run, but since that ended, they've been pretty poor and got progressively worse.

Last time out in the league they put in a pitiful display at Anfield, losing 5-0 in a scoreline that probably flattered them. Their home form has dipped as well, and although losing to Chelsea and Manchester City isn't too bad, they were held by Newcastle and couldn't even muster a goal against a team that have conceded 42 times this term.

Spurs have started to catch Chelsea in third after going seven matches undefeated in the league. That record was in danger last weekend but a late Clint Dempsey equaliser earned them a point.

Away from White Hart Lane, AVB's side have won three, drawn one and lost one since the 5-2 loss at the Emirates. The sole defeat could quite easily have been a win as well as they led 1-0 at Goodison Park before conceding two goals in injury time.

New signing Lewis Holtby is available for selection and him, Gareth Bale and the in-form, Aaron Lennon, could prove quite the creative force.

Bet 3: Real Madrid v Barcelona (Over 2.5 goals) @ 1.4 (2/5) - Sky Sports Three at 20:00

El Clasico usually means goals and I'm counting on Real Madrid and Barcelona to give us three or more in their Copa del Rey match this evening.

This is the first leg of their semi-final tie and although two legged cup ties can often be tight early on, the amount of firepower on show negates that in this instance. The two principal players - Ronaldo and Messi - come into this match on the back of hat tricks (four goals in the Argentine's case) and it's set to be another mouth-watering clash.

The last nine matches between these pair have all gone over 2.5 goals, with six going over 3.5 and two going over 4.5. There hasn't been a clean sheet since their Champions League meeting in April 2011 and both sides are better offensively than they are defensively.

Given the league positions of the two, I'd say that this tie was slightly more important to Real that Barcelona, so with the daunting trip to the Nou Camp to come, I'd imagine Jose Mourinho will get his team on the front foot from the off to try and build some kind of lead.

This game just screams goals to me and despite overs being fairly short, it's still decent value and worth including in a multiple.

Bet 4: Fulham v West Ham (Under 2.5 goals) @ 1.95 (19/20)  

We conclude back in the Premier League as Fulham take on West Ham in what I expect to be a low scoring London derby.

Fulham are having a poor campaign after a bright start and they've now won just two of their last 15 in the league. This has seen them drop to 14th place, only five points above the dreaded relegation zone. Their usual strong home form has deserted them lately; six points from a possible 21, and they have only scored more than once in one of their last half dozen at the Cottage.

West Ham are beginning to slide down the table as well and after recording just the single Premier League victory in eight, they have dropped to 12th place. Scoring goals has been a problem away from  Upton Park as before the one they managed at the Emirates last time out, they had fired blanks at Manchester United, WBA, Reading and Sunderland. 

This is an important match for both clubs, neither of whom can afford to lose. I expect it to be quite a tight affair and under 2.5 seems overpriced at 1.95 (19/20).

Recommended Multiple
Back Everton @ 1.5 (1/2); Back Tottenham @ 1.75 (3/4); Back Over 2.5 Goals in Real Madrid v Barcelona @ 1.4 (2/5); Back Under 2.5 Goals in Fulham v West Ham @ 1.95 (19/20); The Multiple pays approximately 7.17 (6/1)

Multiple prices are based on our Fixed Odds product, so any winnings are exempt from commission.

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Timeform US SmartPlays: Wednesday January 30

Timeform's US team were among the winners yesterday and bring you three more selections on Wednesday...

Tampa Bay race 7 (20:26 GMT) win back #8 THE WEST RIM at 3.55/2 or longer 
Tampa Bay race 9 (21:25 GMT) win back #3 SIMPLE ECHANGE at 3.55/2 or longer
Delta Downs race 10 (03:46 GMT) win lay #7 BRAHMS LADY at 3.55/2 or shorter

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Market Movers: Wednesday January 30

All the early betting moves ahead of today's racing at Leicester and Ludlow

Leicester
14.00
Franklin Roosevelt        2.64 out to 3.0
Special Robon              7.2 in to 5.8

15.30
Buddy Bolero               2.74 in to 2.06

16.30
Refusal                       9.8 in to 5.7  

Ludlow
13.40
Little Dutch Girl           3.35 in to 2.56      

14.10 
Sustainability              4.1 in to 2.92
Heez a Cracker          2.82 out to 3.55

14.40
Brockwell Park           6.6 in to 4.3
Cool Cascade             4.1 out to 9.0

15.10
Father Probus            7.2 in to 5.5
Milo Milan                  9.4 in to 6.4 

15.40
Ajman                      5.6 in to 4.0  
Umoristic                  8.8 in to 5.2

16.10 
Angles Hill                4.3 in to 3.5  

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