Follow The Money: Rocky can sock it to 'em at Plumpton

"With the money down, it looks like a big run can be expected from Rocky Elsom."

Back Rocky Elsom @ 6.611/2 in the 16:00 at Plumpton 

Today's Follow The Money comes from the meetings at Wolverhampton and Plumpton.

We start at Wolverhampton in the 15:50 where Archie Stevens has seen steady support, going from 4.57/2 in to 3.185/40. Tom Dascombe's runner has been showing good progression the last few months, winning three of his last five starts. The penalty for his last start victory will obviously make it more difficult today, but with the runner-up from that race winning yesterday the form looks solid. With conditions looking to suit him today, he seems to have every chance to add to his winning tally this afternoon.

Moving to Plumpton for the 16:00, Rocky Elsom has been strongly supported all morning, coming in to 6.611/2 from 13.4n/a. He had some decent form when running on the flat for John Oxx in Ireland, though has so far failed carry that over to the jumping game. He is entitled to improve today however, as his return at Sandown last start was on very heavy ground which didn't suit. He's also being tongue-tied today, so with the money down, it looks like a big run can be expected.

Finally, we head back to Wolverhampton for the 17:20 where Putin has been on the drift, going from 1.910/11 out to 2.829/5. He ended a long losing run yesterday with victory at Lingfield, and returns only 3lb higher here. The obvious worry for punters is his appalling strike rate, with only four career wins from 64 starts. With that in mind he can never be backed with much confidence, so it might be wise to look for better horses elsewhere to invest your money today.

Recommended Bets
Back Archie Stevens @ 3.185/40 in the 15:50 at Wolverhampton 
Back Rocky Elsom @ 6.611/2 in the 16:00 at Plumpton 
Lay Putin @ 2.829/5 in the 17:20 at Wolverhampton 

Gareth Hunter

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Plumpton Placepot: Sunday January 6

"Mission Complete is clearly of interest raised just 4 lb for a win over the same trip at Warwick last time, while he held his form well enough once finding it last year to think he’ll do himself justice today."

It's Sussex National day at Plumpton, one of the track's biggest cards of the year. Keith Melrose has tackled the Placepot...

12:55 - This is a competitive novice hurdle for Plumpton- in few similar events would proven fairly useful sort Kuilsriver be available at a double-figure price. He's left out as he does most of his racing over further, while favourite Mr Watson is too short a price for one who has hinted at quirks, so we're left with Mister Newby and Lone Ranger. Mister Newby won a bumper here and made an encouraging hurdling debut over C&D under similar conditions, finding only Pendra too good. Lone Ranger is included chiefly because backup is probably necessary in a race such as this, while his smart Flat form in France could make him the best of these if he's ready to go starting out for Venetia Williams.

13:25 - The market has this as a toss-up between Sladen Licht and Vulcanite. Even for Placepot purposes it's tough to split them, but we should need only one to progress. Narrow preference is for Vulcanite, as he looked marginally the better short-term prospect when accounting for Salden Licht at Hereford on their respective chasing debuts.

13:55 - Ask for the two best prospects in this novice hurdle and you'd get a confident answer- Venceremos from Lost Legend- but with the former a hurdling debutante and the latter seemingly being aimed at handicaps our task suddenly becomes trickier. Venceremos is still worth including, as she's bred to thrive over this trip and further, while she's in excellent hands with Charlie Longsdon. Rich Buddy is taken as our second selection. His win at Worcester over the summer looks good for the time of year and he can be excused a slightly substandard run five months later on his only start since. 

14:25 - Plenty of these are difficult to place much faith in, including Aureate, but he won last time out and this is the type of race in which good recent form can prove especially valuable. Marble Walk is a more conventional selection, being on a fair mark now based on his third-placed finish over 25 furlongs here. He appeared not to get home that day and can go close now dropped half a mile in trip.

14:55 - The big race of the day is predictably tough, though not in the way you might expect as there are doubts hanging over plenty of the 12-strong field. Mission Complete is clearly of interest raised just 4 lb for a win over the same trip at Warwick last time, while he held his form well enough once finding it last year to think he'll do himself justice today. Runner-up to him at Warwick was Reblis, who himself was taking a big step forward on what was his first start for Charlie Longsdon. He's worthy of inclusion, especially if ridden prominently as he was at Warwick.

15:30 - This final leg is arguably the trickiest of the lot, with nothing really jumping out as a solid Placepot prospect. The in-form Midnight Macarena would be the nearest thing, though her jumping hasn't always been the most dependable and support is definitely required. Fellow last-time-out winner Join The Navy has been put up sharply, but will benefit from this longer trip and has few blotches on his (admittedly light) profile thus far, so rates as a better option than most.

Selections:
12:55 - 8, 9
13:25 - 1
13:55 - 2, 11
14:25 - 2, 6
14:55 - 1, 10
15:30 - 1, 7
= 32 lines   

Look out for Brand new features with Timeform Race Passes - In-Play Hints, Running Notes & Warning Horses. Find out more at timeform.com.

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Plumpton

Going Report / Editor / 08 April 2012 / Leave a Comment

Racecourse: Plumpton
First Race Time: 14:30
Going: Good, Good to Firm in places (watered)
Other Information: 0.5mm of rain overnight

Racecourse: Musselburgh First Race Time: 13:50 Going: Good to Soft Other Information: Dry last 24 hours. Today will be cloudy with bright spells, 10ºC....

Racecourse: Towcester First Race Time: 14:10 Going: Good Other Information: 1mm of rain overnight...

Racecourse: Kempton Park First Race Time: 13:35 Going: Standard...

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Supreme Novices' Hurdle: Montbazon eases clear at Plumpton

News / Timeform / 30 January 2012 / Leave a Comment

Montbazon was successful at Plumpton.

"We won't have learned a lot from that but he's a smashing horse..."

The Alan King-trained Montbazon got back to winning ways at Plumpton on Monday...

Considered a live contender for the Supreme Novices' Hurdle at Cheltenham, Montbazon had finished just a length behind Colour Squadron on his first start over hurdles at Newbury in December.

The only brief moment of concern for Wayne Hutchinson was when Montbazon jumped to the right at the third-last and cannoned into Victor Leudorum.

But he quickly recovered to finish 15 lengths in front of that rival.

"We won't have learned a lot from that but he's a smashing horse," said King.

"I'd like to give him a bit more practice and we might look at the Listed hurdle at Exeter in a couple of weeks."

Montbazon is currently trading at [20.0] for the Supreme, with Steps to Freedom heading the market at [9.4]. Cinders and Ashes ([12.0]), Darlan ([12.5]) and Simonsig ([14.5]) are also prominent in the betting.

Diamond Harry will be checked out for a possible breathing problem after his run at Cheltenham on Saturday......

Timeform take a look at a number of three year-old's from the Roger Charlton yard, reviewing what they have achieved to date and what they may go on to accomplish in the coming Flat season......

Timeform look back at a weekend dominated by Cheltenham Trials day on Saturday and some top-class action from Ireland on Sunday, including the return of Champion Hurdler Hurricane Fly......

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Timeform Radio Racing Tips: Wagers at Catterick and Plumpton

Timeform Radio Tip / Graham Cunningham / 14 February 2011 / Leave a Comment

Both market leaders are of interest in the 14:50 handicap hurdle at Catterick

"Argentia has caught the eye travelling sweetly for a long way against useful rivals on both her last two starts and backing her at [14.0] or bigger with a view to trading out at [7.0] and [2.0] could be a value trade."

Graham Cunningham makes the picks today and he has many angles to consider including a potential big-priced In-Play punt

Things have been ticking along nicely for yours truly since the weather improved, but I can't see today being especially busy on the punting front and most of the races I've looked at haven't thrown up much.

That said, Plumpton's 14:00 does offer a couple of points of interest. Pepite Rose is trading at [1.67] here and I think she'll win.

However, Argentia has caught the eye travelling sweetly for a long way against useful rivals on both her last two starts and backing her at [14.0] or bigger with a view to trading out at [7.0] and [2.0] could be a value trade.

Recent rain at Catterick puts a different complexion on several races and the 14:50 is one in question.

Fujin Dancer caught the eye at Rasen, but his rider has yet to partner a winner and a split stakes play involving course winner Kings Counsel and back-to-form Pete could be the way forward.

Recommended Bets:
Plumpton 14:00: Back Pepite Rose at [1.66] or better and back Argentia at [14.0] or better with a view to laying off at [7.0] and [2.0]
Catterick 14:50: Back Pete and Kings Counsel at [5.8] and [6.6] or better

Graham Cunningham makes the picks today and he has many angles to consider including a potential big-priced In-Play punt...

David Cleary talks us through his two selections at Hereford....

Rory Delargy joins presenter Paul Jacobs for a packed afternoon's racing, bolstered by the rearranged Irish Hennessy meeting. Rory heads to Newbury's featured meeting for the day's best bets....

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