Showing posts with label Being. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Being. Show all posts

Saturday, August 30, 2014

Follow The Money: Empire being backed in today's Saturday Sandown special

Recommended Bets

Lay Fintry in the 15:15 Sandown @ 2.962/1

Back Assault On Rome in the 16:25 Sandown @ 6.05/1

Back Zain Empire in the 17:00 Sandown @ 3.412/5

The markets have been reviewed and all three of today's Follow The Money selections come from the meeting at Sandown...


It takes a brave person to ignore the words of the great Andre Fabre and he has warned that his filly Fintry may not be at her best in today's 15:15 Sandown. Her price has eased out from 2.56/4 to her current price of 2.962/1 with large volumes of money traded on her. She has been off the track for 90 days and has a seven pound Group two penalty to shoulder as well. She has been brought here for better ground but this is very much a prep race for the Sun Chariot. She rates a good value lay with several credible rivals in opposition.

Moving on to the 16:25 Sandown, Assault On Rome has been backed to take advantage of a drop in class. The early 8.615/2 is long gone and she's currently trading at 6.05/1. She has been highly tried for the excellent Mark Johnston stable, running respectably in a listed race at Cologne in July and following that with an excellent third place behind Cabs in a Class three Nursery at Newmarket. Off the same mark and in this easier grade, this consistent sort can get her head back in front today. She should be able to get a prominent early position from her good draw and as with most representatives from this stable, keep finding at the business end.

Zain Empire has been the subject of relentless support in the 17:00 Sandown. Small money has been traded on him at as big as 7.613/2 and larger sums at all rates down to his current 3.412/5 accounting for over half of the money traded on the market. He's a lightly raced and progressive colt. After making a successful debut at Carlisle he ran an excellent third behind Provenance at Sandown over seven furlongs, form which has been boosted by the winner since. He posted another good effort on his latest start where he just missed out. After just three starts he is still open to improvement and the strength of support reflects his trainer's view that the colt is steadily improving and can only get better, will like the ground and should go well.


Recommended Bets

Lay Fintry in the 15:15 Sandown @ 2.962/1
Back Assault On Rome in the 16:25 Sandown @ 6.05/1
Back Zain Empire in the 17:00 Sandown @ 3.412/5

Staked: 632pts
Returned: 664.65pts
P/L: + 52.72pts (before commission)

Updated to end of July. Based on prices at time of publication.


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Sunday, March 2, 2014

Follow The Money: Thomas Junior being backed to boss his rivals

Recommended Bets

Back Big Sound @ 4.84/1 14:40 Huntingdon

Lay Thousand Stars @ 1.9520/21 14:50 Leopardstown

Back Thomas Junior @ 2.68/5 15:00 Huntingdon

Just the two meetings this afternoon in England and one in Ireland for the Follow The Money team to get their teeth stuck into. Here's today's three selections...


We start the day at Sedgefield where we will look to back Big Sound in the 14:40. Early money has seen this horse trade from a high of 6.86/1 in to a price of 4.84/1. Trainer Mark Walford stated that the heavy ground was the main factor for the disappointing run last time out at Catterick when finishing a long way behind the field. His last win came on soft ground back in the summer and his most promising recent run, when a close second at Wetherby, was also on soft ground, so today's going should suit. With that said, we think that Big Sound will make a big impression and get back to winning ways.

Moving over to Ireland for our lay, where we take a look at Thousand Stars, who runs in the 14:50 Leopardstown. A negative in the market all morning has seen him drift from 1.594/7 out to 1.9520/21. There's no questioning this horse would win this race very comfortably at his best, but recent form has been very disappointing, showing little to no impression on his last three runs. Although taking a step down in class for this affair, others look better off in the weights to pull off a shock win here.

Last up we move over to the 15:00 at Huntingdon where we will be backing Thomas Junior. A positive move has seen him go from 3.39/4 in to 2.68/5. Making progress in bumpers and hurdling the horse makes his handicap debut here. His last run out when third at Taunton is looking to be good form as the one he was beaten by has went on to win since, and his form on its own isn't bad reading, placing in three of his four starts. Jockey Tom Scudamore takes the ride today, and he has a respectable 25% strike rate when pairing up with trainer David Pipe. The horse looks relatively unexposed today and should get his debut win here.


Recommended Bets

Back Big Sound @ 4.84/1 14:40 Huntingdon
Lay Thousand Stars @ 1.9520/21 14:50 Leopardstown
Back Thomas Junior @ 2.68/5 15:00 Huntingdon


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Wednesday, May 22, 2013

Follow The Money: Duke being backed to be king of Brighton

Recommended Bets

Back Laudation @ 6.611/2 Nottingham 14:50

Back Highland Duke @ 2.021/1 Brighton 16:10

Lay Assembly @ 2.35/4 Newcastle 14:30

The Follow The Money team have reviewed the markets to come up with one selections each from this afternoon's meetings at Brighton, Newcastle and Nottingham...


Today's first selection comes from Nottingham at 14:50 where Laudation has been well supported from 8.25n/a in to 6.611/2. This colt showed promise in maidens on the all-weather but put in a good performance on his first turf start, finishing second at Yarmouth. His trainer William Jarvis reaches for the first time visor today and if that has a positive effect then the selection must go very close.

Our second back selection today arrives in the form of Highland Duke in the 16:10 at Brighton, who has been backed from a high of 2.747/4 in to 2.021/1. The Clive Cox trained four-year-old is having his second run of the season after a promising second earlier this month, narrowly failing to take advantage of a good tactical ride. Highland Duke comes here only 2lbs higher and with conditions to suit, he would not need much more to take this today.

We head North to Newcastle for today's negative where Assembly has been on the drift all morning in the 5f Maiden Stakes at 14:30, currently trading at 2.35/4 from an early 1.738/11. This William Haggas-trained runner has been disappointing on his two starts to date, firstly when down the field at Newmarket on debut before being beaten just over six lengths into third at Beverley last week, and comes here hoping to find easier pickings in this relatively weak race. However although bred for the trip he has to prove the drop in distance will suit and with his two main market rivals contracting in price it may not be a case of third time lucky.


Recommended Bets

Back Laudation @ 6.611/2 Nottingham 14:50
Back Highland Duke @ 2.021/1 Brighton 16:10
Lay Assembly @ 2.35/4 Newcastle 14:30

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Sunday, May 19, 2013

Follow The Money: Hi There being backed to wave goodbye to rivals

Recommended Bets

Lay Life And Times @ 2.588/5 Market Rasen 14:00
Back Love Island @ 11.010/1 Ripon 15:10
Back Hi There @ 4.67/2 Ripon 15:40

Today's Follow The Money movers come from the meetings at Market Rasen and Ripon...


First up and we see today's lay in the 14.00 2m1f Maiden Hurdle from Market Rasen. Life And Times was an early 1.824/5 shot but is now trading up at 2.588/5. He ran once three years ago on the flat finishing fifth over seven furlongs for Godolphin and makes his hurdling debut today for the John Ferguson yard for who the gap in racing won't be a cause for concern. However as he drifts Yes Daddy is being backed in this decidedly weak maiden making this almost a match bet but one that the betting suggests Life And Times might just miss out on.

We move over to Ripon for our final two races and first up is the 15.10 6f Handicap. There has been a lot of action in this race with several movers in both directions but its Love Island that's seen the most. Initially trading at around 15.014/1 she drifted alarmingly to 26.025/1 but has since seen a lot of money bring her back into 11.010/1. You can forgive her eighth at Thirsk last time out after racing on the unflavoured side at a shorter distance. Prior to that she had a winning seasonal return. With the ground good to soft, the same conditions she won C&D last summer, the money suggests this Richard Whittaker horse is one to follow today and she's still available at value prices.

Finally in the 15.40 1m Handicap Hi There has been backed in from 6.25/1 to 4.67/2. Things didn't go to plan at Musselburgh three weeks ago but the going is much more in his favour today. He had been improving prior to that performance and if he's able to resume that today he could get his head in front.


Recommended Bets

Lay Life And Times @ 2.588/5 Market Rasen 14:00
Back Love Island @ 11.010/1 Ripon 15:10
Back Hi There @ 4.67/2 Ripon 15:40

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Thursday, May 9, 2013

Follow The Money: Ruler being backed as if in a World of his own

Recommended Bets

Lay Enobled @ 2.707/4 Goodwood 13:55
Back Ruler Of The World @ 1.9210/11 Chester 14:45
Back Sorella Bella @ 11.010/1 Southwell 17:10

Today's Follow The Money selections comes from the afternoon meetings at Goodwood and Chester...

Our first mover of the day is a negative one, in the shape of Enobled who runs in the 13.55 at Goodwood and is now trading at 2.6213/8 from 1.8910/11. The Sir Michael Stoute inmate ran just the once as a two-year-old, when a running on third over a mile on Kempton's all-weather surface. That run was a promising one and if improving on that should run a big race but its worth bearing in mind that he wasn't really fancied on his debut going off 14/1 and todays track might not be ideal for a horse having his second run after 197 days off the track.

We move north now to Chester for their 14.45, where Aidan OBrien's Derby entrant Ruler Of The World has been backed from 2.526/4 into 1.9110/11. The three-year-old never ran at two but looked a potential top class performer when winning at Navan last month. It's interesting that connections have wasted no time in getting him out again and stepping him up in class. On his run at Navan the extra two furlongs today is sure to suit and when you also take into account that the yard have won three of the last six running's of this race, everything points to a winning run followed by a possible crack at the Derby. I suppose the only negative is that he was put up by pricewise for the Derby yesterday, negative in the sense that any huge ante-post prices are all but gone.

We stay at Chester for their next at 15.15. Mick Channon's Sorella Bella has been a mover now 11.010/1 from 15.014/1. The filly had an international campaign last season running the three times at San Siro, winning the first of them before running second in a group 1 and 3. That was on the back of some useful performances in lesser company, so its clear she has improved with her racing. She ran in the Nell Gwyn on her seasonal debut and although she was well beaten then it's clear to see she was initially priced on the exchange on this disappointing run. That run should have blown the cobwebs away and back in handicap company she should run a big race.


Recommended Bets

Lay Enobled @ 2.707/4 Goodwood 13:55
Back Ruler Of The World @ 1.9210/11 Chester 14:45
Back Sorella Bella @ 11.010/1 Southwell 17:10

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Wednesday, July 18, 2012

Olympic Football: Are Uruguay being underestimated?

"Uruguay are the sole nation to have prevailed every time they have participated."

Michael Lintorn offers five reasons to consider backing Uruguay for the men's gold, and also talks up Switzerland's chances...

It isn't often that a case is presented for a competition's third favourites being underrated, however that argument is certainly applicable to the Uruguay men's team at London 2012, who are some distance behind Brazil and Spain at 8.67/1 to claim gold.

The progress
Uruguay are some distance clear of 2.721/1 favourites Brazil in the FIFA world rankings and deservedly so after upstaging them at both World Cup 2010 and Copa America 2011. They reached the semi-finals of the former and won the latter to establish themselves as South America's current top team.

The talent
The age limits rule out the likes of Diego Lugano and Diego Forlan, but Uruguay's squad features plenty of senior stars and an absolutely stunning set of attacking talents trumping Spain and perhaps Brazil. Luis Suarez, Edinson Cavani, Abel Hernandez and Gaston Ramirez are all among their options.

The Olympic pedigree
While Brazil have never secured Olympic gold and Spain only did it on home soil, Uruguay have twice triumphed, with both victories occurring in Europe. They are the sole nation to have prevailed every time they have participated, those wins accompanying their first spell as a major international force.

The coach
Whereas many countries have separate coaches running the Olympic and senior sides, Uruguay can call on the veteran tactician responsible for all their recent success, Oscar Tabarez, in London. Brazil have their national boss Mano Menezes in place too though he is nowhere near as proven at this level.

The Olympic factor
This isn't the World Cup, where only a limited number of teams realistically have a shot at the top prize. The last 11 editions have produced ten different winners and not all of those were established threats, for example Poland, Nigeria and Cameroon. Brazil have competed 12 times without winning.


The other price that leaps out in the market is the 19.018/1 on Switzerland grabbing gold. They aren't paired with any of the four favourites, joining Mexico, South Korea and Gabon in Group B and tend to bring their best to global tournaments, conceding just once in seven games at the last two World Cups. They have wisely called upon international goalkeeper Diego Benaglio too.

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Saturday, May 14, 2011

Britain's Got Talent 2011: Girls Roc-ket to being leading contenders

Britain's Got Talent RSS / Mike Norman / 11 May 2011 / Leave a Comment

Something about Girls Roc caught the eye of our BGT reviewer

Something about Girls Roc caught the eye of our BGT reviewer

"It obviously helps when you’re outgoing, sexy and gorgeous but don’t let that detract from how good these girls actually were."

After a few weeks of disappointing audition shows, Mike Norman is in a far better mood after witnessing some proper talent on Saturday.


Admittedly I've been a bit grumpy of late, so much so that I've been accusing the current series of Britain's Got Talent as being dull and boring thus far.

Well either the guy dressed as Zorro at my last fancy dress party was Simon Cowell, the ITV producers heard my drunken rants about the rubbish being screened, or there is indeed a god out there happy to appease my wishes. But however it came about, Saturday's latest offering of bizarre, disillusioned, and fame-hungry contestants were far better than what we have seen in the three previous weeks.

Of course, when a septet of scantily-clad, none-too-shy beautiful women open the show then it's difficult to envisage BGT as anything but pure heaven and bliss.

Girls Roc really did rock. Ignoring their obvious assets, this bunch of sexy blondes and brunettes got the night off to a fantastic start. Much of what they did - flame throwing, fire eating, power tool stunts or whatever they are called - has been seen many times before, but these girls did it during a very confident and synchronised routine. It obviously helps when you're outgoing, sexy and gorgeous but don't let that detract from how good these girls actually were. It could easily have been seven hairy bikers doing the same routine for all I care, they would have still impressed... honest!

From a completely selfish point of view, it will be an utter disgrace if Girls Roc don't appear in the live semi-finals. But don't worry about that, I'll have a word with Zorro at my next fancy dress party.

Perhaps the silliest act I've ever seen on any series of BGT came when 21-year-old art student Nathan Wyburn appeared on Saturday to create a picture of judge Michael McIntyre from slices of Marmite-covered toast. From an art perspective it was ok, but from a variety act perspective it was brown bread just as much at its conclusion as it was before it commenced.

You only have to be a decent dancer to progress further on BGT; if you're an exceptional dancer then you can suddenly find yourself being touted as the potential winner before you've even had chance to polish your shoes.

On Saturday we saw two such dancers, one in the style of Billy Elliot, the other a cross between George Sampson and the Tin Man from the Wizard of Oz.

Eleven-year-old James Hobley found his passion for dancing when his mum took him to a dancing event as a child. James discovered that dancing helps a muscle problem he has in his legs, and it also helps him to overcome his struggle against autism. I'm no expert in the kind of dancing that he enjoys, but living just a stone's throw away from where Jamie 'Billy Elliot' Bell grew up I'd like to think that I know a thing or two to suggest that James can go a long way in this year's competition. His story and appeal are exactly what the British public warm to, so definitely keep him on your shortlist for when the Winner market materialises.

Michael Moral on the other hand just oozed class during the robotic, body-pop style dance routine that he performed. The problem I have with Michael - and it's nothing personal - is that's he was born and still lives in France. This is Britain's Got Talent for Christ's sake! Can you just imagine the announcer at the Royal Variety Performance if this guy wins? "And the winner of this year's Britain's Got Talent is... French!"

But given the talent and entertainment Moral, and the likes of Hobley and Girls Roc demonstrated at least the show is moving in the right direction - quality-wise at least.

Three weeks into the auditions and Mike Norman is far from impressed with what we've seen so far, though a couple of Youtube entries have definitely impressed our hard-to-please blogger....

Mike Norman wasn't overly impressed with Saturday night's Britain's Got Talent auditions, but he believes a few acts are worth keeping an eye on as the show progresses....

Britain's Got Talent returns on Saturday so our resident Reality TV addict Mike Norman outlines what we've got in store for you over the coming weeks....


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Thursday, April 7, 2011

Are WSOP Bracelets Being Devalued?

World Series of Poker 2011 RSS / Matthew Pitt / 06 April 2011 / Leave a Comment

A 2007 WSOP bracelet. They probably meant more back then!

A 2007 WSOP bracelet. They probably meant more back then!

In 54 days time the 42nd annual World Series of Poker will kick off in Las Vegas, Nevada and more than 72,000 poker players will descend on "Sin City" with one common goal, to win a coveted WSOP bracelet. But are they really that sought after any more and does winning one still hold as much prestige as say 20 years ago?

Although the inaugural WSOP event was held in 1970 the first-ever bracelet was not awarded until 1976, though all WSOP event winners before this date were awarded them retrospectively. Winning a bracelet back then meant you were the best player in the world for that particular poker variant as the fields were very small and the number of bracelets on offer were minimal.

However, in recent times the number of bracelets on offer has continued to increase at an alarming rate. In 2006, thirty years after the first bracelet was awarded, the number of events that gave the winner a gold bracelet had increased from eight to a staggering 45 and this year's World Series of Poker will see no fewer than 58 poker players leave The Rio All-Suite Hotel & Casino with a diamond encrusted gold bracelet on their wrist or stowed safely away in their luggage. Add to this the fact you now win a bracelet in World Series of Poker Europe events, meaning players have the chance to win a total of 65 bracelets in 2011 alone, which is ridiculous.

In recent years the organisers of the WSOP have had the bright idea to have two tournaments running every day, which means some people are playing 50 or more tournaments over the course of the series. We had instances last year where players such as Daniel Negreanu had bought into two tournaments on the same day and he was darting back and forth between the two games, again completely ridiculous and disrespectful of other players and the history of the WSOP itself.

Even Erik Seidel thinks the value of a WSOP bracelet is on the decline. In a recent interview the eight-time WSOP bracelet winner said, "I think the value of a WSOP bracelet is diminishing. I loved it when there was a tournament every two days. This two-events-a-day stuff gets silly with people playing 50+ events." He went on to add that the size of the fields is also actually a concern because the best players will hardly ever have a chance to win a bracelet in no limit event. "Let's sat Isaac Haxton is the best No Limit Hold'em player in the world. He has almost no chance to win a No Limit title on the world's biggest stage." Though that is a separate issue.

Winning a WSOP is still a major achievement in my opinion but because of the sheer number of them available to win and the fact the field sizes are now so huge there is more luck than skill involved in many cases. I would prefer bracelets to be only awarded in the World Championship events but then others will argue this would mean Joe Bloggs from the street would be priced out of his dream to win a bracelet, but does Joe Bloggs really dream about winning one anymore? I don't think he does.

Why not check out the excellent Western-themed website dedicated to qualifying for the 2011 World Series of Poker through Betfair Poker?

Jack Ury, the oldest-ever participant at the World Series of Poker, passed away this week at the age of 97. Ury leaves behind a large family of children, grandchildren, great-grandchildren, and great-great-grandchildren, having been married more than 66 years to...

The dates for the 2011 World Series of Poker have been formally announced and it has been revealed there will be no fewer than 58 events from which players can potentially win one of the most coveted pieces of poker...

No need to worry about "spoilers" anymore. It's all over. It took many months, but finally the 2010 World Series of Poker has reached its conclusion, with Jonathan Duhamel having become the first-ever Canadian WSOP Main Event champion. Not surprisingly,...


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Saturday, February 12, 2011

The Limits of Being Human in a No-Limit World

Poker News RSS / Short-Stacked Shamus / 11 February 2011 / Leave a comment

There's something about that select group of poker players who play for the highest stakes that tends to encourage the rest of us to think of them as somehow not of our species. I'm talking about those players we see routinely competing for five- and six-figure pots in heads-up matches online, or who we watch take down similarly gaudy-sized scores on the live tourney circuit. To us mere mortals, it's easy to think of such individuals as somehow fundamentally different from us, playing the same game we are, but in ways and for stakes we can only imagine.

Of course, no matter how we might look upon them -- even "mythologize" them as we sometimes will do -- they are, in fact, human, too. Ultimately their status as somehow something different has more to do with how others view them than what is actually the case. Like most things in poker, when it comes to creating these seeming "gods" of the game, perception is more important than actuality.

That said, it is reasonable to say that while the highest-stakes players are certainly human, they still likely view the game -- and a lot of other things -- very differently than do most of us. The ability to do so is part of what makes them great, and allows them to compete at the stakes they do. As Al Alvarez notes in his 1983 narrative The Biggest Game in Town when speaking of such players and what makes them different, "It is a question not just of a different level of skill but of a different ordering of reality."

There were a couple of stories in poker this week that highlighted both how we sometimes view such high rollers as somehow not human while reminding us that indeed they are very much so. Perhaps not coincidentally, neither story was strictly about poker, but more of the "human interest" variety insofar as both focused more on players' lives away from the tables. And both highlighted the fact that while these players might sometimes order their "reality" differently than most of us do, the problems and issues they can face are -- just like ours -- most certainly real.

One story involved the 2008 World Series of Poker Main Event champion Peter Eastgate. You'll recall how the 25-year-old from Denmark somewhat surprisingly announced his intention to step away from poker prior to last summer's Series, as well as his auctioning off his WSOP bracelet for charity back in November. In a post here called "Money Matters," I speculated that after having won poker's biggest prize Eastgate might've found himself in a position in which he felt there was nothing left to play for, the money (and perhaps other things) no longer mattering the way they must for poker to seem a worthwhile pursuit.

This week Eastgate announced he intended to return to poker, with plans to participate in the EPT Copenhagen tourney later this month as well as in the NBC National Heads-Up Poker Championship in March. In a statement over on the PokerStars blog, Eastgate explains both the reasoning behind his having taken a break from poker as well as why he wants to return.

The statement reveals Eastgate to be a thoughtful young man to whom many of us who haven't played for the highest stakes can nonetheless relate. "Sometimes in life a person can feel lost and wake up one morning not recognizing who he is," Eastgate begins, showing that despite the cool, emotionless exterior he consistently demonstrated during his 2008 WSOP ME run (remember his seeming non-response following the final hand?), he's certainly as feeling and vulnerable as those of us who haven't enjoyed multi-million dollar scores.

Eastgate goes on to talk about his two years of "living the life of a high profile poker pro" and how that experience had gradually caused him to have "lost track" of himself and who he was. He also notes how the money did, in fact, matter, explaining that "when there is no financial pressure it can sometimes be hard to get motivated to move forward as a person."

Having now had the chance to step away for a period and reconnect with loved ones and friends, Eastgate believes he has discovered a way to strike a balance in his life. "I feel I have figured out how I can combine playing poker with a healthy life outside of poker," explains the Danish pro.

It's that last statement -- regarding the struggle to live a "healthy life" as a high-stakes, "high profile poker pro" -- that connects Eastgate's story to the other one from this week that also got us thinking about how these players aren't as invincible as we might sometimes make them out to be. I'm referring to the story of that much-publicized prop bet between two other young poker pros, Ashton Griffin and Haseeb Qureshi, the so-called "Million Dollar Bet" about which there has been quite a bit of discussion over recent days.

Both Griffin and Qureshi have emerged over the last couple of years as successful high-stakes online players, with Griffin having added some significant live scores, too, including a victory at the 2010 NAPT Venetian High Roller Bounty Shootout last February.

As you've likely heard, the bet involved Griffin laying 3-to-1 that he could run 70 miles on a treadmill in a 24-hour period. Qureshi eventually bet $285,000 that his friend would not be able to perform the feat, with Griffin booking an additional $15,000 worth of action from others. All told, Griffin was risking $900,000 to win $300,000. And perhaps he was risking more than that, given the extreme physical challenge he was up against as well.

Ultimately Griffin won the bet, though not without a significant amount of drama along the way, much of which is compellingly chronicled in Qureshi's two blog posts this week "The Million Dollar Bet, Pt. 1" and "The Million Dollar Bet, Pt. 2."

Qureshi expresses a lot of regret in his posts for making the bet, having genuinely feared for the safety and even life of his friend over the course of the 24 hours of Griffin's run. I won't rehearse all of the particulars of Qureshi's account -- you can read it yourself -- other than to say it does show that while some of these individuals may make bets or take risks most of us cannot imagine undertaking, they are still quite susceptible to all of the same doubts, fears, uncertainties, and troubles faced by us all.

Near the end of his account, Qureshi wonders if there might be something "deeply unhealthy and imbalanced" about the world of high-stakes poker, a line that perhaps echoes Eastgate's suggestion that he needed to look outside of that world in order to become "healthy" and balanced. I wouldn't pretend to know one way or the other whether that might be the case, although it does appear from the outside that the "different ordering of reality" that goes on in that world would definitely be challenging for those trying to survive in it.

If they're human, that is.


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