Showing posts with label returns. Show all posts
Showing posts with label returns. Show all posts

Sunday, January 29, 2012

Timeform Radio Racing Tips: The Fly returns...

Timeform Radio Tip RSS / / 29 January 2012 / Leave a Comment

Will you be backing Hurricane Fly today?

Will you be backing Hurricane Fly today?

"The Tatkin was much improved when stepped up in trip last time and looks a real dour mudlark."

The main action is across the Irish Sea where Hurricane Fly makes his first appearance of the campaign but profit may be found opposing the Cheltenham champ, says David Cleary

After a tremendous Saturday at Cheltenham, Leopardstown takes centre stage this afternoon, with the returning Hurricane Fly bidding to follow Big Buck's in winning his Festival prep race in style, the Irish Champion no less at 14:30.

Given he's not been seen since May and has missed a few engagements, this afternoon might be when Hurricane Fly is potentially vulnerable. While an impressive win is much the most likely outcome, there is some mileage to be had in backing his stable companion Thousand Stars on a win and place basis. Thousand Stars is overpriced in relation to Unaccompanied, given a moderate ride when beaten by that mare last time and capable of finishing a clear second to Hurricane Fly on his best form.

Best bet of the day may be The Tatkin in the 14.55 at Ffos Las. She was much improved when stepped up in trip last time and looks a real dour mudlark. She's up 13 lb in the weights but has more to offer. Her main rival Bendant is potentially very well handicapped but he is far from certain to benefit from stepping up to three miles.

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Rory Delargy is at Cheltenham for Trials Day where several Gold Cup pretenders put forward their case in the feature Argento Chase. Rory has a strong fancy in that race, and a couple of others of interest....

The names of today's selections are certainly promising and Terry Norman can offer sound reasons for backing them......

Today's best action is across the Irish Sea but the best betting opportunities are at Warwick and Newcastle, says David Cleary...


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Saturday, September 17, 2011

Belmont Betting: Theyskens' Theory returns to the US

Trainer Talk RSS / Brian Meehan / 17 September 2011 / Leave a Comment

Theyskens' Theory returns to the US on Saturday night

Theyskens' Theory returns to the US on Saturday night

Brian Meehan's Theyskens' Theory, sixth in last year's Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies, returns to the US on Saturday night for the Garden City Stakes at Belmont Park (due off 22:18 BST). Here's what he had to say about her...

22.18 1m1f Group 1

Theyskens' Theory: She deserves to win a Group 1 and she should relish the fast ground that has been forecast. She did well to win her listed race at Sandown last month and this has been the plan ever since. It is such a shame the ground went against her at Royal Ascot as she would have gone very close on a quicker surface. She looked magnificent before she left for America, she is a genuine Group 1 filly, and although this is obviously a hot race (she faces the 1-2-3 from last year's Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf), I would be very hopeful she would be involved in the finish.
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Brian Meehan provides the lowdown on his weekend runners, including one in the opener at Newbury that he's very excited about......

Michael Bell is tentative about his runners' chances on Saturday but could they surprise him?...

Michael Bell's globetrotting gelding Wigmore Hall goes in search of his first Grade 1 success in the Northern Dancer Turf Stakes at Woodbine on Sunday night (due off 21:34). Here's what Michael had to say about his chance.....


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Friday, May 6, 2011

SCOOP Returns with Online Poker Show

SCOOP

When the SCOOP returns to online poker room PokerStars this Spring it will have a few new additions. The popular online poker series will have a 30 minute magazine-style show airing on the PokerStars site. “Inside SCOOP” will showcase the poker players who make their living as part of the PokerStars family, with interviews and discussions relevant to the SCOOP events that take place. There will also be live chat and Facebook components. SCOOP is the Spring Championship of Online Poker and is sponsored by online poker room PokerStars.


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Thursday, April 14, 2011

In-Running Week: Column returns for the Flat!

Neil Munro RSS / Neil Munro / 13 April 2011 / Leave a Comment

Can Breathless Kiss make your an in-running profit this summer?

Can Breathless Kiss make your an in-running profit this summer?

"Kevin Ryan does well with sprinting types and Breathless Kiss still has more improvement in her."

Neil Munro may have moved from England to Ireland but he still loves the game and the opportunities for In-Play trading on Betfair. He returns with one to watch in spring handicaps this spring and summer

It has been a while since the last In-Running Week after I relocated from Stevenage to Dublin as my Betfair job moved across the Irish Sea. Don't you miss Stevenage I hear you cry? What has Dublin got that Stevenage hasn't? A beautiful coastline near-by, Irish hospitality, the Guinness tour, plenty of racecourses, Temple Bar, Trinity College, let me stop!

Although there may be a few more Irish horses on this service than previously, I will still be mainly concentrating on all the in-running characters in UK racing, and there are plenty of them. For those who haven't read the column before, I try and take a unique approach to in-running trading. I look for plays that you can put up using the keep bet function (call the Betfair Helpdesk for information if you don't know about this) so you are not reacting to what IS happening in-running, but what is likely to happen. We have had plenty of success with this, mainly thanks to good old-fashioned home work.

The first horse I want to put up is a 5f specialist, which brings together my two great loves, a sprinter and a horse with an interesting in-running profile. I love the National Hunt game, and I love all the Classics on the Flat revolving around middle distance performers, BUT for me there is no greater sight than a big field sprint handicap with them blasting off from the start.

Now Breathless Kiss is a four-year-old filly whith sprint specialists all through her breeding. Given her US heritage it was no surprise that she picked up a couple of wins over the all-weather winter at Kempton and Lingfield but she proved she could still cope with the turf when winning at Beverley a little over a week ago.

Kevin Ryan does well with sprinting types and Breathless Kiss still has more improvement in her. Her record over the minimum trip on turf and the all-weather is five wins from eight starts, not a bad strike rate you have to admit. What I do believe is that she needs a strong pace to come off of, or a stiff finish, so that others are coming back at her.

The play on Breathless Kiss is to split your stakes, backing her both pre-race and then in-running at bigger odds. If you don't fancy her to win, you could lay her pre-race and try and trade your position in the race by backing her at bigger odds. She trades bigger during the race as she is often held up and must find a passage through with her late finish. She has traded double her starting price in the run on four of her five wins.

So there you have it, the first offering of the Flat season, and may I wish you all the best of luck for the coming week.

Neil Munro discusses a few more horses whose in-running price movements we should take note of....

Neil Munro brings his usual weekly bulletin from the world of in-play betting...


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