Showing posts with label every. Show all posts
Showing posts with label every. Show all posts

Monday, September 3, 2012

NFL Betting 2012-13: Division-by-division ratings for every team in the AFC

"With running back Chris Johnson fully focused and improvement at the QB spot in the form of Jake Locker Tennessee could be worth a nibble at the current 6.05/1."

With less than a week to go before the season curtain-raiser, Luca Bercelli methodically applies his punting brain to every team in the American Football Conference...

AFC East
New England Patriots - 1.341/3 to win division, 7.613/2 to win Super Bowl

The Pats are a skinny 1.341/3 to top this division but they're short for a good reason and it would be a brave man to bet against them. They went to the big show last year despite defensive frailties; a problem they addressed in the draft. This is a team with almost more ticks than boxes, and if you throw in the best coach in the league, which Bill Belichick undoubtedly is, they are going to be formidable opponents. An easy schedule cements the deal so they can't really be opposed in this division.

New York Jets - 8.07/1 to win division, 60.059/1 to win Super Bowl
I hate to admit that the Planes are my team because they're something of a laughing stock, which is a shame as they've got a great defence and a masterful defensive coach. Unfortunately that defensive coach, Rex Ryan, is also the head coach. Touchdowns have been scarce during pre-season (one in four matches!) and the sooner Tim Tebow takes over at QB from Mark Sanchez the better. Unpredictable, and could sneak into second place but shouldn't trouble the Pats.

Buffalo Bills - 7.26/1 to win division, 70.069/1 to win Super Bowl
The Bills have developed a losing habit which has seen them with their feet up during the post-season for the last 13 years. Big off-season acquisitions have created a potentially devastating defensive line but second-tier quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick will need to push on and start using his Harvard-educated brain if he's to justify his mega-contract. The 7.26/1 to win the division is about right but, really, they are playing for second place.

Miami Dolphins - 15.014/1 to win division, 310.0309/1 to win Super Bowl
The Fish were the pre-season stars of reality TV show Hard Knocks; lucky for them, because they're not going to star in much else this season. A rookie quarterback, not much in the way of receivers and a new coaching staff all add up to a classic rebuilding phase. Odds of 15.014/1 are not in the least bit tempting.


AFC North
Baltimore Ravens - 2.789/5 to win division, 22.021/1 to win Super Bowl

It was no disgrace to lose to the Pats in the play-offs last year and even though they've lost a big player in Terrell Suggs to injury, the QB spot is more solid with Joe Flacco growing in confidence. He's been much criticised but I like his poise in the pocket and although second favourites for the division I take them to win it at the expense of...

Pittsburgh Steelers - 2.26/5 to win division, 22.021/1 to win Super Bowl
Their dominant defence will keep them in the hunt but without a proven running game and big Ben Roethlisberger a good bet to get injured, 2.26/5 is too short for comfort.

Cincinnati Bengals - 6.25/1 to win division, 65.064/1 to win Super Bowl
Making the pro-bowl and the play-offs in your first year as a quarterback doesn't often happen by accident, and is no mean feat. Andy Dalton did both and is threatening to get even better in year two. With a potentially lethal defence to back him up this team could be a big surprise package and 6.25/1 to win the division whilst not great value, has just about managed to reel us in.

Cleveland Browns - 34.033/1 to win division, 320.0319/1 to win Super Bowl
You have to feel sorry for Browns fans; they've had a dismal decade when nothing much went right for them. They also happen to be in the most defensively talented division around - not a great fit for their inexperienced and below-par offence. The struggles are set to continue so avoid the 34.033/1 at all costs.


AFC South
Houston Texans - 1.331/3 to win division, 11.010/1 to win Super Bowl

This division is not as clear-cut as the betting would imply. The Texans are worthy of favouritism but 1.331/3 is not a bet that I'd have, even with your money. Yes it's a weak division and they should win it, but I don't see them as rock-solid as the Pats.

Indianapolis Colts - 20.019/1 to win division, 220.0219/1 to win Super Bowl
Exit Peyton Manning - enter Andrew Luck, the number one draft pick and many experts' idea of the next big thing under centre. In time that's quite possible, but it won't be this season, even in a division that isn't the strongest. Should be fun to watch but 20.019/1 just about sums up their chances.

Tennessee Titans - 6.05/1 to win division, 120.0119/1 to win Super Bowl
With running back Chris Johnson fully focused and improvement at the QB spot in the form of Jake Locker these boys could be worth a nibble at the current 6.05/1.

Jacksonville Jaguars - 19.5n/a to win division, 370.0369/1 to win Super Bowl
Good defence, bad offence. One minus one equals zero! Avoid.


AFC West
Denver Broncos - 2.829/5 to win division, 20.019/1 to win Super Bowl

The only aspect of the Broncos season I'd be putting money on is Peyton Manning to have a below par year. He's at a new team, liable to get injured again and is certainly no spring chicken. Even in the weak AFC West all of that adds up to 2.829/5 being the worst price in any division.

San Diego Chargers - 3.3512/5 to win division, 40.039/1 to win Super Bowl
Would have been of interest had crucial injuries not hurt them pre-season. That's enough for me to look elsewhere.

Oakland Raiders - 6.25/1 to win division, 100.099/1 to win Super Bowl

By the law of averages the Raiders are due a decent season and if running back Darren McFadden stays healthy the eye-patch bad-boys have a real shot, and could nick top spot in a tight division. Carson Palmer is no mug at QB and he'll roll with any early momentum. There are a lot worse 6.25/1 shots in the world of sports betting than this lot.

Kansas City Chiefs - 4.47/2 to win division, 60.059/1 to win Super Bowl
Slumped to last place in the division last year and although impressive in pre-season, we all know what that means... nada. Plenty of weapons for QB Cassel to orchestrate but the problem isn't them, it's what he sees when he looks in the mirror.


Recommended Bets
AFC East - No Bet
AFC North - Back Cincinnati Bengals 6.25/1
AFC South - Back Tennessee Titans 6.05/1
AFC West - Back Oakland Raiders 6.25/1

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Sunday, September 2, 2012

NFL Betting 2012-13: Division-by-division ratings for every team in the NFC

"Even in triple coverage you wouldn’t bet against Detroit Lions' star receiver Megatron (aka Calvin Johnson) coming up with the ball more often than not. With a weapon like him and a good all-round team they are a sporting bet to take the title at 5.49/2."

Betting.Betfair's new American Football blogger Luca bercelli goes from East to West, and North to South to weigh up the chances of every team in the NFC ahead of the curtain raiser between Dallas and New York on Wednesday...

NFC East
New York Giants - 3.55n/a to win division, 25.024/1 to win Super Bowl

Last year's surprise champions look set for another solid season but they're not even favourites to win their division and that's based on the fact that they've lost a few players and overachieved last year. Michael Vick stands between them and the divisional title and I don't expect him to move aside.
Washington Redskins - 14.013/1 to win division, 120.0119/1 to win Super Bowl
The Skins should be good to watch with Heisman trophy-winning QB Robert Griffin III calling the shots, but there's no disguising the fact that they're still a work in progress so enjoy, but don't back.
Philadelphia Eagles - 2.427/5 to win division, 15.014/1 to win Super Bowl
The success or failure of the Eagles rests on the shoulders of one man, M Vick esquire. I think his shoulders are broad enough and am picking him to stay healthy, and them to have a strong season. If the Vickster stays fit, he's pretty much unplayable.
Dallas Cowboys - 3.711/4 to win division, 27.026/1 to win Super Bowl
It's not easy working with an owner who feels his team should win the Superbowl every year but that's pretty much the deal with Jerry Jones and the ten-gallon hat mob. Good QB but disappointment beckons yet again.


NFC North
Chicago Bears - 5.59/2 to win division, 30.029/1 to win Super Bowl

QB Jay Cutler is delirious to be reunited with ace receiver Brandon Marshall but will this combination be enough to push Da Bears over the winning line in first place? My hunch is NO.
Green Bay Packers - 1.548/15 to win division, 7.413/2 to win Super Bowl
The Pack are a good team, okay they're a great team. It's very hard to get away from them, but I for one won't be betting odds-on in any of these divisions. It's either odds-against or no bet for me.
Detroit Lions - 5.49/2 to win division, 36.035/1 to win Super Bowl
Even in triple coverage you wouldn't bet against star receiver Megatron (aka Calvin Johnson) coming up with the ball more often than not. With a weapon like him and a good all-round team they are a sporting bet to take the title at 5.49/2
Minnesota Vikings - 34.033/1 to win division, 400.0399/1 to win Super Bowl
The Vikes are the complete outsiders 390.0389/1 to win the Superbowl. Odds compilers sometimes get it wrong...but not that wrong.


NFC South
New Orleans Saints - 2.285/4 to win division, 20.019/1 to win Super Bowl

Drew Brees is fresh off a scorching year when he eclipsed the single-season record for passing. A shame then that his efforts have been overshadowed by the shameful bounty controversy. That will surely be a distraction too far, so I'm passing them over in favour of the...
Carolina Panthers - 6.411/2 to win division, 60.059/1 to win Super Bowl
QB Cam Newton made the transition from rookie to real deal in super-fast time last season and with more targets to hit and a healthier defence it will be no surprise if he leads the Panthers to the top of the NFC South at odds of 6.411/2. Dad's army fans should look out for the best named player in all of pro-sports, Captain Munnerlyn. Look him up, it's no joke.
Atlanta Falcons - 2.466/4 to win division, 30.029/1 to win Super Bowl
Their Achilles heel last year was the offensive line and since they haven't done much to improve it expect QB Matt Ryan to spend as much time on his butt as celebrating TDs. Way too short IMO.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 15.014/1 to win division, 130.0129/1 to win Super Bowl
You don't want to have a weak defence in a division stuffed with star quarterbacks but that's exactly what the Buccs have. As well as a better team they'll also need a fit scoreboard operator.


NFC West
San Francisco 49ers - 1.574/7 to win division, 15.5n/a to win Super Bowl

Blew the division apart in 2011 and, if anything, have more firepower this time round. Will be hard to beat but 1.574/7 is not my kind of price so I'll pass.
Seattle Seahawks - 4.216/5 to win division, 55.054/1 to win Super Bowl
Pete Carroll, a coach I've never had too much faith in, has produced two consecutive 7-9 seasons for the Hawks. Expect more of the same.
Arizona Cardinals - 8.07/1 to win division, 150.0149/1 to win Super Bowl
The Cards need a decent QB to utilise receiver Larry Fitzgerald's formidable talents. They haven't got one. End of.
St. Louis Rams - 11.010/1 to win division, 230.0229/1 to win Super Bowl
The Rams are a pretty good bet to have a better season than last year but that's not saying much as they finished 2-14. Could make the race for second spot interesting, but the gold medal...not this time.


Recommended Bets
NFC East - Back Philadelphia Eagles 2.427/5
NFC North - Back Detroit Lions 5.49/2
NFC South - Back Carolina Panthers 6.411/2
NFC West - No Bet

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Tuesday, August 28, 2012

Men's US Open: Selections for every match played on Tuesday

"Lorenzi has yet to win a set off the Serb in either of their previous meetings and I can't see any reason for that to change here. Djokovic is in good shape and will fancy a tilt at the title."

Abelson Info are back to give a brief preview and selection in every one of today's Men's Singles first round matches...

David Goffin v Thomas Berdych (6) 16:00 Louis Armstrong Stadium
H-to-H 0-0
Goffin is having a decent season and under normal circumstances could expect get through a few rounds here, but unfortunately for him he's drawn Berdych - end of story.
Selection: Berdych

Nicolas Almagro (11) v Radek Stepanek 16:00 Court 17
H-to-H 0-2
On clay it would be Almagro every time, but Stepanek is always a loose cannon capable of springing a surprise. So don't be surprised when he wins in five.
Selection: Stepanek

Santiago Giraldo v Milos Raonic (15) 16:00 Court 11
H-to-H 1-1
Raonic is one of the coming stars and should be due to make his breakthrough at a Grand Slam sooner rather than later - Giraldo won't prove to be a major obstacle at this stage.
Selection: Raonic

Thomaz Bellucci v Pablo Andujar 16:00 Court 4
H-to-H 2-0
Bellucci won the Gstaad tournament in July and Andujar hasn't had much match time in the US so we take Bellucci to improve on his head-to-head stats with Andujar.
Selection: Bellucci

Ivo Karlovic v Jimmy Wang 16:00 Court 7
H-to-H 0-0
Although Karlovic hasn't played since Wimbledon, he should be too powerful for qualifier Wang and is a dangerous floater in his part of the draw.
Selection: Karlovic

Andy Roddick (20) v Rhyne Williams 18:00 Arthur Ashe Stadium
H-to-H 0-0
Roddick comes here with some hard court form after winning an event just prior to the Olympics. It appears to me that he has a new lease of life recently and if he can maintain that level of concentration then he could go deep. The young American Williams isn't in this league but he has done alright on the Challenger Tour and has shown some aptitude for clay.
Selection: Roddick

Karol Beck v Jo-Wilfried Tsonga (5) 18:00 Grandstand
H-to-H 0-0
When will Tsonga win his first Grand Slam? He has all the ability, has beaten all the top guys in meaningful tournaments, but somehow lacks the self-belief to make the breakthrough. He obviously has a chance this year in New York, although he lost to Isner last week. He should beat Beck easily on his way to a possible quarter-final with Andy Murray and a re-match after their Wimbledon semi.
Selection: Tsonga

Nicolas Mahut v Philipp Petzschner 18:00 Court 13
H-to-H 1-0
Both players, middle-ranking journeymen, have been on the circuit for over a decade and have never met in an ATP match, only meeting once in a Challenger Tour game. Close but Mahut to end on top.
Selection: Mahut

Steve Darcis v Malek Jaziri 18:00 Court 12
H-to-H 0-1
Up until recently I would have said this is a little bit of a toss of a coin. Jaziri has won their one meeting and would take some encouragement from that. It is Darcis however that is holding all the form after a nice run at the Olympics and then backing it up with a few good wins on the hard courts.
Selection: Darcis

Sam Querrey (27) v Yen-Hsun Lu 18:30 Louis Armstrong Stadium
H-to-H 2-0
Querrey has had a good US leg of the ATP tour, culminating in a semi-final appearance in Winston-Salem Open last week and should have a successful US Open starting with victory over Lu.
Selection: Querrey


Sergiy Stakhovsky v Stanislas Wawrinka (18) 20:00 Court 8
H-to-H 0-0
Stakhovsky is one of those players who really is better than his ranking suggests. If he puts it together he is a better player than many of those in the seedings. His problem here is that he comes up against an in form Wawrinka. He got a couple of good scalps last week and it took Federer to stop him the semis.
Selection: Wawrinka

Dennis Novikov v Jerzy Janowicz 20:00 Court 10
H-to-H 0-0
It is fair to say that Novikov is about to have the biggest day of his career so far. At a world ranking of 1099 I wouldn't expect him to be grabbing many headlines. Janowicz is no superstar but he has won his last two tournaments on the Challenge Tour (albeit on clay courts) and will be confident here.
Selection: Janowicz

Edouard Roger-Vasselin v Fabio Fognini 20:00 Court 14
H-to-H 1-0
There isn't an awful lot to recommend either of these guys coming into such a big tournament. At least one of them will get a W next to their name. Roger-Vasselin is getting beat by all sorts of players on all sorts of surfaces so that doesn't look too promising. At least Fognini is showing up and playing some reasonable stuff.
Selection: Fognini

Guillermo Garcia-Lopez v Juan Monaco (10) 20:30 Grandstand
H-to-H 1-4
A little bit of a clay court specialist battle but make no mistake they do both have some decent results on hard courts too. I think it is a poor state of affairs that someone as limited as Monaco is the tenth seed but it is no mistake so he does merit it. Garcia-Lopez has some big shots but he often comes up short on the big occasion. I don't particularly like putting faith in Monaco but I may have to here.
Selection: Monaco

Julien Benneteau (31) v Olivier Rochus 20:30 Court 11
H-to-H 1-1
This is one for the purist. Rochus is still trying as hard as ever against the giants of the modern day game. Benneteau can still produce some really good tennis and is most likely at a stage of his career where he is more likely to come good on the big stage.
Selection: Benneteau

Marcos Baghdatis v Matthias Bachinger 20:30 Court 7
H-to-H 3-0
It is great to see Baghdatis still delighting the crowds - and he can still play you know. This will be a pretty good match up for the Cypriot as Bachinger doesn't really do hard courts. I can't see anything other than a comfortable win for the crowd favourite.
Selection: Baghdatis

Rogerio Dutra Silva v Teymuraz Gabashvili 22:00 Court 15
H-to-H 0-0
An intriguing clash between two guys who are more used to clay court clashes. The Brazilian will be especially put out to switch to hard courts but surely at a grand slam event he can put that to one side. Gabashvili has some game but he is not in any sort of form so this really is up for grabs.
Selection: Gabashvili

Alexandr Dolgopolov (14) v Jesse Levine 22:30 Court 17
H-to-H 0-0
Levine can play and this will be no walk in the park for his seeded opponent. If the Russian isn't on his game then we could be in for a tight tussle. However, Dolgopolov does have serious game and if he comes in focused then this could be a demonstration.
Selection: Dolgopolov

Carlos Berlocq v Bernard Tomic 22:30 Court 13
H-to-H 1-0
Tomic had a disappointing grass season but has bounced back a little since with only Federer and Djokovic getting in his way. With some confidence and maybe a little less expectation he could well here. Berlocq is no mug though and has beaten Tomic before so he is to be taken seriously.
Selection: Tomic

Paolo Lorenzi v Novak Djokovic (2) 00:00 Arthur Ashe Stadium
H-to-H 0-2
Lorenzi is a bit unlucky with the draw but those are the breaks and there is a fair chance he wouldn't have progressed past a lot of the draw. He has yet to win a set off the Serb in either of their previous meetings and I can't see any reason for that to change here. Djokovic is in good shape and will fancy a tilt at the title.
Selection: Djokovic

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Wednesday, July 18, 2012

The Open Championship: Tips for every first round 3-ball

"Phil Mickelson - Suddenly kicked into gear in the second round of the Scottish Open. Game is back but this is a different test."

The guys at Abelson Info know every single Open Championship participant inside out, so we've asked them to give a brief preview of all Thursday's three-balls (and a couple of two-balls).


06:19 2 Ball - Lane - Driscoll
Lane - Closed with a 66 in last weeks US Seniors Open. Not really able to compete at this level any more.
Driscoll - Good putter but is wayward off the tee and that won't help around here.
Selection: Take the old timer Lane to win the first battle of this years Open.

06:30 2 Ball - Finch - Mulroy
Finch - Up and down year but mainly down. Missed his last 5 cuts and doesn't look like changing that run here.
Mulroy - South African trying to make his way on the PGA Tour. Limited success there so far but has the ability to keep his tour card.
Selection: Go with Mulroy here as he is at least some signs of form.

06:41 3 Ball - Baldwin - Da Silva - Takayama
Baldwin - An underrated player who is playing as well as he ever has at the moment.
Da Silva - Largely plies his trade on the South African Sunshine Tour. This is a big step up and no real reason to think he is up to it.
Takayama - 5 wins on the Japan Tour and made the cut in this years US Open. Has some pedigree but hard to enthuse about.
Selection: Baldwin will take this easily.

06:52 3 Ball - Echenique - Ichihara - Huh
Echenique - Nothing this year. Came through qualifying but little else to support his case.
Ichihara - Came through Asian qualifying and has acquitted himself to some decent level on the Japan Tour.
Huh - One of the success stories of the year in the US. A top player for years to come.
Selection: The other two are well below Huh's class and that will show.

07:03 3 Ball - Lyle - Hamilton - Calcavecchia
Lyle - Sandy is still capable of the odd really good round but they are becoming less frequent.
Hamilton - This former Open champ will probably perk up when faced with this challenge.
Calcavecchia - Another who will relish this opportunity. Not a bad year so far on the Champions Tour.
Selection: This is set up beautifully for Calcavecchia to roll back the years.

07:14 3 Ball - Canizares - J.M Singh - Chalmers
Canizares - He has a lot of ability and is in pretty decent nick. I would however suspect a birdie course is better suited to his game.
Singh - I've no idea how he did it but he is coming off the back of a great win last week. He will not be backing that up here.
Chalmers - Five top 25 finishes on the PGA Tour this season but not suited by tight courses so I expect him to struggle here.
Selection: Canizares is a tentative choice in this contest.

07:25 3 Ball - Daly - Campbell - HoeyDaly - Big John still plays as well as ever. Has a great touch and this will be put to the test this week.
Campbell - He should do better for someone of his ability. Could go well.
Hoey - Has flattered to deceive recently. Has a links game but too many errors in there at the moment.
Selection: I just favour Daly to out perform his rivals.

07:36 3 Ball - Jaidee - Leonard - Khan
Jaidee - One of the form players on the European Tour. But this is his fifth week on the spin. A week too far probably.
Leonard - This former Open champion has completely lost his game. Discard.
Khan - He is having a poor year and I wouldn't expect that to change here.
Selection: Even a tired Jaidee is too good for his playing partners.

07:47 3 Ball - Duval - Jacquelin - Jimenez
Duval - The last winner here at Royal Lytham but in no form. Would be very popular if getting some spark back.
Jacquelin - 21st at the US Open last month and has continued that decent form. Good ball striker.
Jimenez - It is too early to write him off but he is in a poor run of form at best.
Selection: Take a wild punt at a decent price on Duval.

07:58 3 Ball - Ames - Rock - Stanley
Ames - Not the player he was and I can't see him taking to Blackpool.
Rock - Since the huge win in Abu Dhabi he has been a little off. Might have seen the best of him this season.
Stanley - Superb early season and then had a big dip. Starting to rediscover his form recently and could go very well this week.
Selection: I really like Stanley in this match up.

08:09 3 Ball - Cink - Cabrera-Bello - Wagner
Cink - The most unpopular Open champion in recent history. Has shown the odd glimpse of form but not a lot.
Cabrera-Bello - If he can keep it straight he could even challenge for the title. A real talent.
Wagner - This Texan may well enjoy it if it gets windy.
Selection: Go with Cabrera-Bello to take care of his PGA Tour partners.

08:20 3 Ball - Donaldson - Haas - Yang
Donaldson - Has had his week in the sun with his win at the Irish Open.
Haas - Could surprise a few people this week. One to watch.
Yang - Not his best year so far and I can't trust him until I see evidence of a turnaround.
Selection: Go with Haas.

08:31 3 Ball - Love - Clark - Paul Lawrie
Love - US Ryder Cup captain is playing his best stuff for some time.
Clark - I dont think he is quite back to his best but there are certainly positive signs.
Lawrie - I know a lot of people like Lawrie's chances this week - however I don't. He peaked too soon and won't feature.
Selection: Try Tim Clark as he could well be a real dark horse this week.

08:42 3 Ball - Scott - Dunbar - Kuchar
Scott - Playing well when he tees it up. Good player from rough and that will be very useful.
Dunbar - This young amateur can clearly play links golf so will love this challenge.
Kuchar - The Players Champion and a real machine. Could be a threat for the title this week.
Selection: All three have chances but I just give the edge to Scott.

08:58 3 Ball - Vijay Singh - Watney - Poulter
Singh - Solid stuff from Vijay at the moment - littered with the odd bit of magic.
Watney - Super consistent and one to consider. I am however worried about his pretty wayward driving.
Poulter - He tends to raise his game for the big ones and maybe not as much attention on him this year as in the past.
Selection: I have a good feeling about Poulter in this one.

09:09 3 Ball - Clarke - Els - Zach Johnson
Clarke - Defending the title is a lot of pressure. Has been in poor form but recent signs are good. He will put up a stout defence.
Els - Has more majors in him now he has re-dedicated himself. If he keeps it straight off the tee he has to be one of the favourites.
Johnson - Emotional win last week may have taken the stuffing out of him for this massive test.
Selection: Els is the man for this contest.

09:20 3 Ball - Westwood - Fujimoto - Bubba Watson
Westwood - No course is safe when Lee is on his game. Could this finally be his year?
Fujimoto - Turned pro just this year but at just 5ft 5in he had better hope it doesn't blow too hard this week.
Watson - The enigmatic Watson could well add to his major haul right here. Leads the greens in reg stat on the PGA Tour.
Selection: Tough call but I just favour Westwood.

09:31 3 Ball - Dustin Johnson - McDowell - Fujita
Johnson - Won a few weeks ago and should have been Open champion last year. Could put that right this time around.
McDowell - Always a danger at the big ones. Will be disappointed he didn't add another US Open last month.
Fujita - 13 Japan Tour wins but not nearly as proficient when venturing onto other tours.
Selection: This one has Johnson written all over it.

09:42 3 Ball - Woods - Rose - Garcia
Woods - Three wins already this season but aside from that I really like his stats. I think he is ready for another major.
Rose - A great ball striker and he won't be fazed by playing with Tiger. About time he contended for a big one.
Garcia - Just a fraction off top form. If he finds that bit extra he will be a danger to all. Needs a big second half of the season.
Selection: Take Tiger to get off to a flyer.

09:53 3 Ball - Ishikawa - Kaymer - Tom Watson
Ishikawa - Will come good eventually and win many events. I just don't think that will start here.
Kaymer - Too many elements of his game are off at the moment. He is not on my short list for the title.
Watson - Loves any Open and showed last week he can still play. Everyone wants to see him go well again this year.
Selection: Watson is good value to take care of his young rivals.

10:04 3 Ball - Schwartzel - Baddeley - Bjorn
Schwartzel - Hasn't played since the US Open due to a nagging chest muscle injury. Not good preparation for a major.
Baddeley - Far too wayward for this course. Is a brilliant putter though.
Bjorn - Has been in good form this season and is a terrific outside punt for the championship.
Selection: I see Bjorn taking this comfortably.

10:15 3 Ball - Dufner - Laird - Na
Dufner - Not been seen out since the US Open. Was in unbelievable form before that. Can't guarantee that will continue here though.
Laird - Played surprisingly well last week but I still think the Scot is better suited to target golf.
Na - Didn't get the prep he was looking for last week but this consistent player may find this course suits him better.
Selection: A real tricky one to call is this but just go for the controversial Na.

10:26 3 Ball - Morrison - Chopra - Luiten
Morrison - His game is littered with good rounds but just can't string a few together.
Chopra - Came through qualifying in the US but this has not been a good season for the Swede.
Luiten - I am fan of the Dutch youngster and I can see a big performance ahead.
Selection: Take a punt on Morrison to post a decent score.

10:37 3 Ball - Olesen - Matteson - Aiken
Olesen - Has to be one of the finds of the European Tour season. There will be many many victories ahead for this guy.
Matteson - So so close in the John Deere last week. Will be delighted to be here but not sure he will make the cut.
Aiken - Pretty reasonable form recently and well suited to this type of test. Could be a dark horse.
Selection: Aiken is a good bet here.

10:48 3 Ball - Kennedy - Mamat - Tiley
Kennedy - Won on the Japan Tour this season and playing some reasonable stuff the last couple of years.
Mamat - Has had a win on the Asian Tour this season but not one of its leading lights.
Tiley - Never quite reached even the second grade of professional golf. Can't see much happening this week.
Selection: Kennedy has the pedigree to beat his playing partners.

10:59 3 Ball - Bennett - Townsend - Veenstra
Bennett - A reasonable player back in the 90's. A shock comeback is going to get some headlines.
Townsend - Came through Australasian qualifying in gale force winds and rain. Very handy preparation.
Veenstra - Not a lot to recommend this South African. Don't expect to see his name near the top of the leaderboard.
Selection: I'm having a punt on Townsend to take this.

11:10 3 Ball - Whitnell - Walker - Elliot Saltman
Whitnell - Still making his way in the game and does have a future ahead on the European Tour.
Walker - Won an event on the Challenge Tour last month but not sure that is quite the class he faces here.
Saltman - Squeezed through a play off to get to the championships but that is where his success ends.
Selection: Try former classy amateur Whitnell to show his skills.

11:31 3 Ball - Estes - O Hara - Jones
Estes - At the age of 46 is still competing pretty well on the PGA Tour. This isn't for him though.
O'Hara - Shown me nothing this season to suggest this could be his week.
Jones - Has had great success in Japan and a pretty competent player.
Selection: I like Jones to adapt best to this test.

11:42 3 Ball - Pagunsan - Pinckney - Cullen
Pagunsan - Has a few victories to his name on the Asian Tour but he is out of his depth here.
Pinckney - American playing on the European Challenge Tour - and with limited success.
Cullen - Aussie who is way out of his league here.
Selection: I have to side with Pagunsan here as he at least has some decent experience.

11:53 3 Ball - Alker - Slattery - Cochran
Alker - The Kiwi has tried his hand all over the world but is just a shade below the top pro levels.
Slattery - Not much recently but has the ability to go well at this kind of venue. One to watch.
Cochran - Solid enough US Senior Tour player who can play links well.
Selection: I favour Slattery in this match up.

12:04 3 Ball - Lehman - Larrazabal - Owen
Lehman - Still hits the ball well. Loves it here and arrives in tip top form.
Larrazabal - A talent for sure - but the Open at Royal Lytham is not the place he will perform.
Owen - Tremendously consistent player on the PGA Tour. Underrated and definitely a lively outsider for the event.
Selection: Lehman's experience will tell here.

12:15 3 Ball - Siem - Coetzee - Reavie
Siem - Not many Europeans have played consistently better this season. His win a couple of weeks ago is as good as it will get though.
Coetzee - Hits the ball clean but seriously needs to sort out his weekend play before he can be taken seriously.
Reavie - Not much to get excited about but is pretty straight off the tee so that may well keep him in the game.
Selection: Coetzee plays well enough early in tournaments to be the pick for this contest.

12:26 3 Ball - Fraser - Glover - Havret
Fraser - I've always been impressed with Fraser on tough tracks. Not to be under estimated.
Glover - Former US Open champ is not making any waves in 2012.
Havret - Another who has a penchant for tough courses. Finds it hard to win though.
Selection: Fraser is a very good bet here.

12:37 3 Ball - Howell III - Broadhurst - Sterne
Howell III - Charles has not progressed as was expected. Needs to sort his short game out big style.
Broadhurst - It's good to see Broadhurst back but this is a big ask.
Sterne - Hitting the ball well but will need to straighten up off the tee.
Selection: Sterne has the best credentials in this affair.

12:48 3 Ball - Pettersson - Kim - Woodland
Pettersson - Has made himself into a very good PGA Tour player. Just isn't suited to golf in Europe.
Kim - I like this guy. has some game and could have a decent future over the next few years.
Woodland - Awful short game will cost him here. Will be going home on Friday night.
Selection: Take a punt on Kim.

12:59 3 Ball - Curtis - Casey - Immelman
Curtis - A bit of a resurgence this season for the former Open champ and do not discount this excellent putter.
Casey - I can barely bring myself to assess his chances. Let's just say they are non-existent.
Immelman - I'm not sure Trevor really has his game right at the moment.
Selection: This one is simple for Curtis.

13:10 3 Ball - Karlsson - Wilson - Grace
Karlsson - I don't like his swing and it will be all over the place if the wind blows.
Wilson - Showed his usual early season form. Off the boil since but is very accurate off the tee.
Grace - The star of the early part of the European Tour. A fraction off that since but has a lot of ability.
Selection: Go with Wilson here to surprise his playing partners.

13:21 3 Ball - English - Dyson - Fernandez-Castano
English - PGA Tour rookie who is proving to be a big hit. This is something else entirely though.
Dyson - Threatening to really light it up. Can he get that putter charged up?
Fernandez-Castano - Has a better chance than at most events as his shoddy putting is not under as much pressure at a links course.
Selection: Nice 3 ball that I just favour Dyson to nick.

13:32 3 Ball - Cabrera - Choi - Fisher
Cabrera - Form is irrelevant for the big fella. You just don't know what he is going to do. But rest assured this will be a week that he is trying.
Choi - The odd flicker of form and he most certainly has the tools to go well at Royal Lytham.
Fisher - Back to form but I struggle to see him winning.
Selection: Choi is a top choice on his way to better things.

13:43 3 Ball - Byrd - Bae - Quiros
Byrd - A danger to all when he is on. Consistent and could do OK if he gets off to a decent start.
Bae - This young Korean has a lot of promise but might not enjoy where his erratic driving takes him.
Quiros - Has gone flat at just the wrong time. Trouble is that if he starts slowly then his head goes.
Selection: Byrd is by far the safest bet here.

13:59 3 Ball - Colsaerts - Mahan - Senden
Colsaerts - Has come of age this season and has the game to win a major.
Mahan - His stats tell you exactly why this guy wins so often. He does everything very well.
Senden - Great ball striker who struggles to win. Will be a little upset at his last few holes last week.
Selection: A trio of brilliant ball strikers but I just favour Colsaerts in the conditions.

14:10 3 Ball - Van Pelt - Francesco Molinari - Muto
Van Pelt - Has a powerful game that could be useful on this course. Should have beaten Tiger a few weeks back but will still take plenty of confidence.
Molinari - Nobody hits it better off the tee. Can't see how he won't be right up there.
Muto - Not a leading light on the Japan Tour but has landed himself in a fancy 3 ball.
Selection: Take Molinari to continue his excellent form.

14:21 3 Ball - McIlroy - Oosthuizen - Bradley
McIlroy - His season hasn't been as disastrous as some are making out but there is some concern over his performances in the big tournaments.
Oosthuizen - Knows how to win an Open and so close at this years Masters. One to be on this week.
Bradley - Not the prep he was looking for at the Irish Open but respected for his determination to succeed.
Selection: Oosthuizen is my tip for this.

14:32 3 Ball - Fowler - Harrington - Trappel
Fowler - Finally got a win under his belt and has one of the best long games on the PGA Tour.
Harrington - You just get the feeling this perfectionist has been preparing meticulously for this week. Has a big chance.
Trappel - Top European amateur who will love this experience.
Selection: It's a close call as I like both of the main protagonists - but I just favour Harrington.

14:43 3 Ball - Donald - Mickelson - Ogilvy
Donald - I would like to say the world number one will love it at Royal Lytham but I just don't think he will.
Mickelson - Suddenly kicked into gear in the second round of the Scottish Open. Game is back but this is a different test.
Ogilvy - Solid season but no better. Missing a spark. Can get hot with the putter mind.
Selection: Take a tentative move towards Mickelson.

14:54 3 Ball - Stricker - Taniguchi - Anders Hansen
Stricker - His valiant attempt for four in a row at the John Deere is not good prep for a big week mentally.
Taniguchi - One of the top Japanese players and don't discount too easily.
Hansen - Has been in terrific form. Don't even consider him in the final round but early in tournaments he is dangerous.
Selection: Hansen has this all set up for him.

15:05 3 Ball - Hanson - Goosen - Allenby
Hanson - Has the long game for an Open test and could contend if he gets off to a good start.
Goosen - A couple of cracking rounds in France recently show he has still got the goods.
Allenby - Still consistent but just at a lower level now.
Selection: Go with the Goose to get off to a flyer.

15:16 3 Ball - Furyk - Oda - Jacobson
Furyk - A late start for Furyk. Assuming he has gotten over his US Open failure he could be a feature.
Oda - Reasonable Japan Tour player - no more no less.
Jacobson - Freddie is not everyones cup of tea but I think he is great and always good to have on your side. Terrific putter on his day.
Selection: Jacobson will sneak this.

15:27 3 Ball - Leishman - Snedeker - Noren
Leishman - A final round 62 a few weeks ago secured an extremely unlikely PGA Tour victory. Good ball striker may now progress further.
Snedeker - Hits the ball real clean but I don't know about his prowess around a course like this.
Noren - Doing everything but winning. Such a good powerful player to watch but has he blown himself out?
Selection: Take a chance on Leishman.

15:38 3 Ball - Romero - Kruger - Ramsay
Romero - Disappointed with Romero last week and not to be trusted until showing signs he is back.
Kruger - Gets the most out of his game. Usually a good starter of tournaments.
Ramsay - Likes the course and is usually very very accurate. Could be a surprise package.
Selection: Ramsay gets the nod in the belief he will keep it on the short stuff.

15:49 3 Ball - Potter Jnr. - Keenan - Georgiou
Potter Jnr - Won a couple of weeks ago but that is as good as it gets for Ted.
Keenan - I like this guys attitude. If he sticks to his game plan he could do alright.
Georgiou - South African who impressed in qualifying but remains to be seen how he does in this environment.
Selection: Keenan to surprise.

16:00 3 Ball - Troy Kelly - Madsen - Lahiri
Kelly - Very close a couple of weeks ago and probably has better game to suit here than the victor.
Madsen - Up and coming star. A lot of eyes will be on this young Dane to see how he performs.
Lahiri - Decent enough player in Asia and may just go better than you might at first think.
Selection: Really tricky call but I just favour Kelly.

16:11 3 Ball - Marksaeng - Hicks - Hall
Marksaeng - He has been around a while and has seen enough not to be too intimidated by this test.
Hicks - Has shown flashes of form throughout his career but has plenty to prove.
Hall - Came through a tough qualifying test to be here. Will be trying hard to make it worthwhile.
Selection: Marksaeng will take this easily.

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