Showing posts with label Stosur. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Stosur. Show all posts

Thursday, March 14, 2013

WTA Indian Wells Betting: Kerber and Stosur likely to go the distance...

'Stosur has spent more time on court this week, played more sets, and, whilst still winning, has had to come from behind a number of times. Given the head-to-head record Stosur usually would be favourite, but I think Kerber will take her the distance tonight'

It's the last two Women's Quarter finals tonight; Kerber versus Stosur in what should be a tight affair and that's followed by two former champions facing off as Azarenka takes on Wozniacki.

First up we have German Angelique Kerber against Australian Sam Stosur. Kerber came into this tournament on the back of two first round losses in a row. This minor drop in form can however be put down to a back strain which came to light at the Australian Open when she was put to the sword by Ekatarina Makarova. To anybody who saw that match it was clear she was not fit but she appears to have got over this now, her three victories at Indian Wells so far show she's back to the level we all expect of her.

Stosur and Kerber have met twice before with Stosur winning each time. To Kerber's credit both matches have been competitive, and I see no reason why it won't be the same tonight. Kerber is an exciting player who is not afraid to go for her shots; she has a wicked forehand and is able to chase down a lot of balls. 

Stosur has spent more time on court this week, played more sets, and, whilst still winning, has had to come from behind a number of times. Given the head-to-head record Stosur usually would be favourite, but I think Kerber will take her the distance tonight. It's certainly worth a look at the Total Games Market for this one in what should be a highly entertaining match.

In the last Quarter Final match we see two players that have tasted success at Indian Wells before. It was exactly two years ago that Victoria Azarenka slumped to her fifth defeat in seven meetings with Caroline Wozniacki as the then world number one went on to take the Indian Wells title that year. 

How the tables have turned since then! Now, Azarenka has two Grand Slam titles under her belt and is arguably the most consistent player on the Tour. She boasts a perfect 17 match winning record this year and very much justifies her pre-match price of 1.261/4. 

Wozniacki on the other hand, troubled by a difficult relationship with her on-off coach and father Piotr, and burdened with the task of keeping a lid on media intrusion has seen her ranking slump outside the Top 10 for the first time in five years.

All that being said, it is Wozniacki who I like tonight. She made short work of Petrova in the previous round and in-form Russian Vesnina in the round before. Noted for her defence, Wozniacki has always possessed an uncanny ability to minimise mistakes. She hardly every serves a double-fault (something Azarenka cannot boast) and seldom hits the net. Moreover with Azarenka hampered by a troublesome ankle injury, this is a perfect opportunity for Wozniacki to re-start her 2013 campaign and redeem herself after an embarrassing loss to little known Qiang Wang two weeks ago.

Wozniacki was the darling of the WTA Tour and was world Number One long before Azarenka had even thought about winning a Grand Slam. She possesses too much ability for this to be an easy match for Azarenka and I think the +5.5 Games for Wozniacki tonight is the way to go.

Recommend Bets:
Back Caroline Wozniacki +5.5 Games vs Victoria Azarenka @ 1.768/11
Back Over 21.5 Games in Angelique Kerber vs Sam Stosur @ 1.814/5

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Monday, September 3, 2012

US Open Tips: Robson to push Stosur all the way

"There’s not much market confidence in the shaky Aussie who trades around 1.384/11 and the Brit should be able to push her with a 4.5 game start, which is my bet at 1.855/6."

Back Robson +4.5 games to beat Stosur at 1.855/6

Laura Robson is back in action today and Sean Calvert believes the Brit can give Sam Stosur a very tough test at Flushing Meadows; backing Robson on the handicap being a good bet...


It was another middling day of betting at the US Open on Saturday, with one comfortable winner and one losing wager.

The day's play at Flushing Meadows began in perfect fashion when Agnieszka Radwanska defeated Jelena Jankovic in straight sets to bring my opening bet of the day in.

Almost as soon as Aga had seen off JJ it was time for Andy Murray to sample the stifling, hot conditions on Louis Armstrong Court as he took on Feliciano Lopez.

And a combination of the heat, humidity and a performance of rare quality from Lopez meant that Murray was nowhere near the handicap mark and was fortunate to take a 2-0 lead after Lopez suffered some bad calls and blew a lead in the second set tie breaker.

Then we saw what Virginia Wade would no doubt refer to as a 'drama queen' performance from the Scot as he played dead for a long time before miraculously coming back to life to take the fourth set breaker and the match.

It feels strange to write this, but there's another Brit in action on Sunday, as tournament sensation Laura Robson takes on her third straight major winner when she plays Sam Stosur in the final match on Louis Armstrong. And make no mistake about it Robson once again is in with a shot against the defending champion.

Left handers tend to be able to handle Sam's kick serve better, plus we all know how nervous Stosur can get when she's expected to win a big match.

It's obviously a big ask for Laura to beat another Slam winner, but if anything this match is perhaps easier on paper than Li Na or Kim Clijsters and if she can reproduce the level of those performances she could win this.

We've been successful so far by erring on the side of caution with Laura, as you can't realistically expect an 18-year-old who's just had the best few days of her career to keep producing the same level time after time, so the handicap looks good again.

There's not much market confidence in the shaky Aussie who trades around 1.384/11 and the Brit should be able to push her with a 4.5 game start, which is my bet at 1.855/6.

On the men's side today it's worth backing Juan Martin Del Potro to perform a demolition job on poor Leonardo Mayer, who's just out of hospital.

After his clash with Tommy Robredo, Mayer was so dehydrated that he had to go to A&E and he withdrew from his doubles after just a few games yesterday, so he'll be happy to be scheduled for the heat of lunchtime today.

The Argentine pair are meeting for the first time today and even if Mayer has recovered I can't see him winning even with an 8.5 games start on the handicap.

He doesn't have the firepower to trouble Delpo, who hopefully will get out of the habit of falling asleep mid-match as he did against Ryan Harrison and Florent Serra and Mayer might find himself longing for the comfort of the locker room after a couple of sets of this match.


Recommended Bets

Back Robson +4.5 games to beat Stosur at 1.855/6
Back Del Potro -8.5 games to beat Mayer at 1.9210/11


Follow Sean on Twitter @seancalvert1

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