Showing posts with label Approach. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Approach. Show all posts

Wednesday, April 4, 2012

Euro 2012 Betting: Is Giovanni Trapattoni's approach is all wrong?

Euro 2012 RSS / / 03 April 2012 / Leave a Comment

Trapattoni's tactics aren't to everyone's liking despite a decent record with Ireland

Trapattoni's tactics aren't to everyone's liking despite a decent record with Ireland

"After Ireland's recent friendly 1-1 draw with Czech Republic, pundit Eamonn
Dunphy laid into the Italian for being too defensive and dogmatic in his approach."

The experienced Giovanni Trapattoni managed to guide the Republic of Ireland to a major competition for the first time since 2002 but not everyone is happy with his selection policy nor his tactics, says Ben Lyttleton.

Ireland coach Giovanni Trapattoni may be the only coach in the game to have won every major international club title going (including the European Cup/Champions League, European Cup Winners' Cup, Uefa Cup/Europa League, European SuperCup and World Club Cup), and he may have won ten domestic championships in four different countries (Italy, Germany, Portugal and Austria), but he has unfinished business as a national team coach.

In 2002, Trapattoni was in charge of Italy at the World Cup, when his side was controversially beaten on penalties by hosts South Korea. "That remains my most bitter moment. The referee [Byron] Moreno laughed at us in the face," he has said. At the 2004 European Championships, Italy fared even worse, failing to get out of a group that contained Sweden, Denmark and Bulgaria.

When he was appointed to manage Ireland, the superstitious Italian pointed out that his birthday was on St. Patrick's Day, which proved to him to be a sign. It was a good one: he has now achieved what he was brought in by Ireland to do, which is qualify them for a major tournament for the first time since 2002. (Ireland came close in Trap's first effort, when the controversial play-off defeat to France cost them a place at the World Cup.) But that does not mean everyone is happy with Trapattoni and his work as coach.

After Ireland's recent friendly 1-1 draw with Czech Republic, pundit and former Betting.Betfair columnist Eamonn Dunphy laid into the Italian for being too defensive and dogmatic in his approach. Dunphy told RTE presenter Bill O'Herlihy that Trapattoni's refusal to call up younger talents like James McClean (he played ten minutes against the Czechs, his debut), Wes Hoolahan, and Ciaran Clark amounted to a dereliction of duty.

"He seems to forget that we've got World Cup qualifiers beginning in September and that these young players will be needed for the future of Irish soccer," Dunphy said in this interview.

"I'm very disappointed with the way he's done his job. I think he hasn't been hands-on enough, he hasn't seen enough games, he's not in touch with what talent is available to him. It's wrong, it's wrong, it's wrong. I don't care if he wins the European Championships.
It's wrong. I feel that he believes the system is more important than the players."

On that last point, Dunphy is certainly correct. Trapattoni is rigid in his adherence to 4-4-2 and his preference for Glenn Whelan and Keith Andrews in central midfield ­ ahead of players like Darron Gibson or James McCarthy, both arguably more talented ­ points at safety-first tactic that is perhaps befitting of a nation Ireland's size (it's interesting to note that when Fabio Capello adopted a similar approach in England's game against world champions Spain, they won the game). With full-backs forbidden from crossing the halfway line, and Robbie Keane the only player allowed the freedom to play between the lines, Trap's greatest strength has been making this side hard to beat.

And while he insists he is not a defensive coach, his argument is hard to stand up given that he points to a team from 30 years ago as his evidence:

"It is not about being defensive or offensive, but it is about the attitude
on the pitch," he said.

"Some people say my team always plays defensively but it is a historical lie. When I was at Juventus (1976-86) I used to play with a winger [Domenico Penzo], an attacking midfielder [Marco Tardelli], two forwards [Paolo Rossi and Zbigniew Boniek] plus Michel Platini ­ they were all in the first eleven. I am only still here because I won more than I lost, otherwise I would have been forgotten." Others, like Gianluca Vialli, forced to play as a deep-lying playmaker under Trap at Juventus, would disagree.

The problem with Dunphy¹s argument is that once Ireland, ([5.1]) to qualify
from Group C, were drawn along with Spain ([1.12]), Italy, ([1.71]) and
Croatia ([2.74]), Trap's tactics make more sense. Against bigger and better
teams, as Capello showed, the safety-first tactic can be effective. The end result will probably be that Ireland's games are low on goals, even if their opening game, against Croatia, is their most winnable. That game is ([3.15]) to finish a draw.

Look out for the goalless draw price too, nearer the fixture. A draw is a result that would still leave Trap hopeful of getting past his compatriots and into the knock-out round. You wonder what Dunphy will make of it all if that happens.

He's got them to their first tournament for a decade and yet Ireland manager Giovanni Trapattoni still has his critics. So can the Italian get his team out of a tough group at Euro 2012?...

After the disaster at the last World Cup, Italy have rebuilt under Cesare Prandelli and are once again looking the composed, disciplined and organised side we expect them to be, says Dave Farrar....

There was plenty of scoffing when Glenn Hoddle declared his interest in the England job, but as the Euros approach the idea is more plausible than ever......


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Thursday, February 9, 2012

Betfair Hurdle: Mullins on Final Approach to Newbury

Ante-post RSS / / 08 February 2012 / Leave a Comment

Final Approach (right) winning the County Hurdle.

Final Approach (right) winning the County Hurdle.

"Taking advantage of the drop in class, Final Approach easily won a Cork minor event early last month, confirming his well-being, and he looks sure to outperform his current odds of [13.0]..."

The Betfair Hurdle takes centre stage on "Super Saturday" at Newbury and, although football fans may picture the likes of Manchester City taking on United on days billed as such, the Betfair Hurdle promises to be every bit as competitive as any local derby...

Last year's winner Recession Proof does not feature in Saturday's renewal, but 2010 victor Get Me Out of Here does, alongside fellow JP McManus-owned gelding Darlan. It is an interesting comparison between the two, as Nicky Henderson's Darlan is at the same stage of his career as Get Me Out of Here was when winning what was then the Totesport Trophy, having won a bumper and three races over hurdles.

Get Me Out of Here landed the pot off an official mark of 135, whereas Darlan is faced with a rating of 146. In addition, Darlan is technically 3 lb "wrong" at the weights, as the handicapper has since reassessed his mark with the runner-up at Taunton, Jump City, disappointing since, dropping Darlan to 143.

Whilst Darlan is clearly open to improvement, his Timeform weight-adjusted figure of 159p (bottom-rated) leaves him with plenty to find with a number of the principals.

Get Me Out of Here is yet to record a victory since that day in 2010, but his latest performance when second to Oscar Whisky in the Relkeel Hurdle at Cheltenham suggested that he has returned as good as ever. However, the abiding memory from that run was how awkward he looked under pressure and his application in a finish must now come under scrutiny.

Looking back to the Cheltenham Festival last season, his second placed effort in the County Hurdle (very smart performance) would make him of definite interest, but it is his conqueror from that day, Final Approach, that makes more appeal for this race.

The Willie Mullins-trained six year-old had just two rivals behind him when jumping the penultimate flight at the Festival, allowing the principals to make their moves before staying on strongly and being value for considerably more than the winning margin.

He went on to contest a Grade 2 and a Grade 1 over longer distances in France, performing creditably in both, before shaping as if in need of the run on his seasonal reappearance in the Hatton's Grace at Fairyhouse. Taking advantage of the drop in class, he easily won a Cork minor event early last month, confirming his well-being, and he looks sure to outperform his current odds of [13.0].

Heading the Timeform weight-adjusted ratings is Paul Nicholls' Champion Hurdle hope Zarkandar, the unbeaten winner of last season's Triumph Hurdle who will be racing for the first time since Aintree last season. He is currently the [9.8] third favourite for the Champion Hurdle and could well be a handicap "good thing" off a mark of 151, but in reality he makes little appeal at the [4.5] presently available given his delayed comeback.

Clearly, this is not the main target for the season, and whilst his innate ability may be enough to see him to victory, anyway, you are in effect chancing that the five year-old has made the expected improvement.

Behind Zarkandar in the Triumph was the Colin Tizzard-trained Third Intention who, at Taunton last time, produced the sort of performance that his seasonal bow at Cheltenham had hinted towards, finishing second to the smart prospect that is Ranjaan in what looked a competitive event. Third Intention comes out second best on Timeform ratings, just 1 lb behind Zarkandar, and a repeat of his Taunton effort would see him go close, making him of definite interest at the [17.0] currently available for the win and [4.4] for a place.

Of the others, the Tom George-trained Olofi runs consistently well in races of this ilk but he has not got his head in front since 2009 and is opposable on that basis. Raya Star and Alarazi finished first and third respectively at Ascot in what was a muddling affair, resulting in form that is not easy to trust, and it is difficult to make an excuse for Alazrazi's laboured affair next time up.

Off a low weight, Abergavenny would be of interest with the promise of his Cheltenham third still fresh in the mind. However, with ground conditions far from predictable at present and the possibility that the five year-old may prefer a sounder surface, he is difficult to nail down as a selection at this stage.

The Betfair Hurdle and, indeed, Newbury's entire "Super Saturday" card, makes for compelling stuff and is enough to have any National Hunt fan salivating at the prospect. Zarkandar could well come out and prove himself to be a definite Champion Hurdle challenger, but you are taking his fitness on trust and he is short enough in the betting to avoid. Final Approach would appear to be the other most likely winner, the big-field scenario seemingly ideal, and it is entirely plausible that he still has improvement in him. Third Intention is also worth keeping on side at a decent price, with his form behind Ranjaan particularly appealing.

Recommendations

Back Final Approach @ [13.0]; Back Third Intention @ [17.0] in the win market and [4.4] in the place market

The feature event on an outstanding day of action at Leopardstown on Sunday is the Hennessy Gold Cup. Timeform's Pat Jupp assesses the field........

With current prices in mind, Timeform's Adam Brookes believes he's found the value bet in the second-day feature of this year's Cheltenham Festival, the Grade 1 Queen Mother Champion Chase....

The highlight of the weekend is the Tied Cottage Chase at Punchestown on Sunday which features a clash between champion chaser Sizing Europe and the horse whose crown he took at Cheltenham last March, Big Zeb.........


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