ATP World Tour Finals Stats: Fish and Tsonga to go the distance

ATP Tour Finals Betting / Ben Caudell / 22 November 2011 / Leave a Comment

Jo-Wilfried Tsonga pushed Federer all the way in his opening match

"The Frenchman has gone over the 23.5 total games mark sixteen times from his last twenty six matches indoors. Fish has exceeded this same total game line nineteen times from his last thirty."

Ben Caudell has identified two bets based on stats ahead of this afternoon's action at the O2 arena. Over to you. Ben...

4 Reasons to Back Federer -3.5 Games @ [2.0] (Roger Federer v Rafael Nadal - 20:00 Match)

•Roger Federer's last victory over the Spaniard came at this event a year ago in the final of the end of season finale at the O2. This will be only their fourth meeting indoors; with all the previous head-to-heads coming at the season finale (2006-07 and last year. Federer has won all of them.

•All three of Federer's indoor victories over Nadal have been won by more than 3.5 games (Shanghai 2006 6-4 7-5, Shanghai 2007 6-4 6-1, London 6-3 3-6 6-1)

•Federer has far superior career stats when it comes down to playing on indoor hard courts. The number four ranked player in the world has won seventeen matches in a row, 88% of all matches played on this surface compared with 69% for Nadal, 72% of service points won and 92% of service holds, compared with 66% and 83% respectively for Nadal.

•Since the World Tour Finals event in London 2009, Federer has recorded 25 wins out of a possible 29 by more than 3.5 games on indoor hard courts and is in much better shape than his opponent coming into this match holding a grander surface rating and match rating (Match Ratings assess form specific to the current tournament conditions and the opposing player, taking head-to-heads into account.)

4 Reasons to Back Over 23.5 Games @ [2.0] (Jo Wilfired Tsonga v Mardy Fish - 14:00 Match)

•Both players went over the 23.5 games line in their opening World Tour Finals matches. Mardy Fish lost to Rafael Nadal in a final set tie-break and Tsonga to Federer 6-4 in the third.

•Tsonga triumphed in a five set epic at this year's US Open in their only head-to-head match to date.

•The Frenchman has gone over the 23.5 total games mark sixteen times from his last twenty six matches indoors. Fish has exceeded this same total game line nineteen times from his last thirty.

•Eight tie breaks have taken place in Tsonga's last thirteen matches and seven from twelve matches for Mardy Fish.

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