Showing posts with label Solid. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Solid. Show all posts

Monday, February 4, 2013

Timeform Radio Racing Tips: Brick Red a solid bet

Brick Red has definitely got more to give, such was the ease of his successes, and less testing conditions this afternoon could even play further to his strengths...

David Cleary has looked through Musselburgh's card and found two bets for you...

There's a cracking afternoon in store at Musselburgh with trials for all sorts of races at the Cheltenham Festival on an eight-race card. Overturn may well be the star attraction in the opening Arkle trial at 13.00, but Tap Night could enhance his claims for the Golden Miller in the other novice chase on the card, while promising juveniles Kashmir Peak and Sametegal clash again in the Triumph trial at 14.30. Even the handicaps on the card have a Cheltenham angle, with replicas of the Grand Annual, the County Hurdle and the Martin Pipe. Those races look to offer the best betting options of the afternoon.

The Scottish County Hurdle at 15.30 has attracted a useful field, including a couple of in-form Musselburgh specialists in Ingleby Spirit and Dontpaytheferryman. They were both in the frame in the race last year, the latter for the second time, and they finished second and third respectively in a similar event here last month. Both are likely to run well but they have no secrets from the handicapper, whereas he's still a bit in the dark about how good a hurdler Brick Red is, despite wins on that one's part at Ludlow and Wincanton on his last two starts. Those successes on similar sharp, right-handed tracks to Musselburgh weren't unexpected, as Brick Red had been promising a lot better to come previously, just faced with too much of a test of stamina. Although he's up plenty in the weights, Brick Red has definitely got more to give, such was the ease of his successes, and less testing conditions this afternoon could even play further to his strengths.

Topweight Salubrious brings solid form to the table in the conditional jockeys hurdle, the Pipe-lookalike handicap, which closes the card at 16.30. He's likely to run well, but he has to give a lot of weight to the fairly useful Flat performer Lexington Bay who is making his handicap debut. Lexington Bay has been learning the ropes so far over hurdles, gradually improving and better than the result at Wetherby last time, where a bad mistake three out cost him plenty. Today's longer trip shouldn't be a problem, judged on Flat form, and it's surely significant he's now fitted with cheekpieces, having worn them only once previously, when winning at York on the Flat in October. 

Recommended Bets:

Back Brick Red @ 3.55/2 in the 15.30 at Musselburgh

Back Lexington Bay @ 5.04/1 in the 16.30 at Musselburgh

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Tuesday, March 20, 2012

Follow The Money: Diplomatic's solid treble chance

Follow the Money RSS / / 20 March 2012 / Leave a Comment

Two FTM bets run at Kempton on Tuesday

Two FTM bets run at Kempton on Tuesday

"Diplomatic has really blossomed this year and a nice middle draw along with significant support, [6.6] in to [4.7], points to the treble being a realistic proposition."

Today's movers come from the meetings at Exeter and Kempton...


In Exeter's 16:00 there has been a move for Fergal O'Brien's Bubbly Bruce. On the face of it there is not a great deal to recommend the eight-year-old but [11.0] in to [7.2] for quite decent money should trigger further investigation. You only have to look back a couple of years to discover that this selection was tackling the likes of Cue Card and other high class opposition. If he can put a disappointing Hurdles career behind him and take to fences on his first attempt he could be worth a punt.

Over to Kempton for our next two movers. Hannibal Hayes in the 16:10 seems an appealing selection on first glance but the market is speaking loudly against his chances. Drifting from [2.84] to [5.0] this once-raced son of Elusive Quality would not appear to be tuned to the minute for today's race. There are plenty of promising types in opposition and hopefully one of them will fulfil that promise today and prove that the market slide on our lay was justified.

Lastly, in Kempton's 17:40, Diplomatic attempts a course and distance three-timer in the space of two months. The Cape Cross seven-year-old has really blossomed this year and a nice middle draw along with significant support, [6.6] in to [4.7] points to the treble being a realistic proposition. Late support for another runner would dent our confidence, but as things stand the selection has very solid credentials.

Recommended Bets
http://sports.betfair.com/Index.do?mi=105195298&ex=1&origin=MRL&rfr=3013
Lay Hurricane Hayes [5.0] Kempton 16:10
Back Diplomatic [4.7] Kempton 17:40

Today's Follow The Money movers come from the meetings at Southwell and Kempton....

Today's Follow The Money Movers come from the meetings at Newton Abbot and Carlisle....

Today's Follow The Money comes from the meetings at Kempton, Uttoxeter and Ffos Las....


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Monday, November 28, 2011

I'm A Celeb Betting: Rock a solid eviction wager

I'm a Celebrity RSS / Alan Dudman / 28 November 2011 / Leave a Comment

The smiles might be replaced with tears tonight for Crissy Rock

The smiles might be replaced with tears tonight for Crissy Rock

"It's all about the air time, Rock's had about two minutes, whereas Wright is getting air miles. If Monday night's show is just as free of Crissy, then it's worth another go on her for eviction at around [3.0]."

The camera does not love Crissy Rock on IACGMOOH 2011 and that lack of air time makes her a good bet to leave the camp on Monday night, says Alan Dudman

The jungle is minus three more (well two without Tedward), as Pat Sharp and also Lorraine Chase headed to the five-star hotel to lick their wounds on Sunday. The 80s DJ only has himself to blame after his shock tactics with the teddy bear badly backfired - that and being the cheesiest person on the planet. Chase on the other hand was too nice, apart from when she told Sharp to 'sod off'.

Two more down, eight to go.

The Friday and Saturday shows were dominated by the jungle royalty task, in which Willie Carson was the ruling prince. We also had the knights of the round table, in which Dougie delivered a stirring speech. Any kind of communication is good from the rocker, who has been a modern day Harold Lloyd film. The McFly man is steady at around [7.0], although it's a slight drift from his price last week.

Antony is still whining over the cooking as he toiled over his wallaby stew. Sunday's chef duties went to Fatima Whitbread, which
immediately put the Corrie's star nose out of joint. He's lucky it wasn't a right hander, as the javelin thrower is one of the hardest competitors in camp.

She brushed aside Pat with ease in the trial, a success which kept her in the show. There has been a move on the Olympian, who has been cut into about [2.25] for top female. Her winner's price however is huge - at [27.0]. But for the tasks, she is unbeatable.

Sunday's show was fairly quiet on Mark Wright front, until yet another of his celebrity chests, and by bizarre coincidence with Emily, the potential romance. Backers of the TOWIE stud are now in a position of power, with a seismic shift
into [1.68] to win it. He is red-hot in the market, and [1.5] for top male. He is ticking all the boxes, missing his mum, great editing, romance, more great editing, torso shots, low IQ and phobia now conquered. Check, check, check and check. The future TV show is looking more and more realistic.

The next elimination has surely got to involve Crissy Rock who might have gone over the weekend. To say she hardly featured in the three hours of programming on Saturday and Sunday was an understatement. In fact, last year's winner Stacey Solomon was more visible, and she's in the adverts.

It's all about the air time, Rock's had about two minutes, whereas Wright is getting air miles. If Monday night's show is just as free of Crissy, then it's worth another go on her for eviction at around [3.0]. Emily is still vulnerable, but will this
potential romance keep her in? A price around [3.5] will be interesting for the Aussie.

Recommended Bets
Split stakes back on Crissy @ [3.0] and Emily [2.9] in fifth elimination.
Back Jessica Jane as top female @ [2.3]

Already Advised
Back Antony Cotton in winner market @ [4.6]
Lay Mark Wright in winner market @ [3.2]
Back Willie Carson in top male @ [6.2]
Back Male winner @ [1.55]
Back to lay Pat Sharp [15.0] LOST
Back to lay Fatima Whitbread @ [16.0]

Saturday's elimination looks a tough one to call but Alan Dudman does his best to decipher who's most likely to get the chop. Let's just say it might be no laughing matter for a particular female contestant......

The eliminations have begun with a quickie last night and another tonight. Alan Dudman looks at the betting and has bad news for FHM model Emily Scott......

It's all gone 1980s in Australia where Sinitta and Pat Sharp are the latest contestants to enter the I'm A Celebrity arena. And Al Dudman likes the former Funhouse man's chances at a big price......


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Sunday, March 27, 2011

Euro 2012 Results: Solid England win over Wales

Euro 2012 RSS / Jamie "The Pacman" Pacheco / 26 March 2011 / Leave a Comment

Frank Lampard makes no mistake from the penalty spot

Frank Lampard makes no mistake from the penalty spot

"There were seven bookings in the match despite it not being a dirty game in the slightest and one of them was for Wayne Rooney, which rules him out of England’s next game at home to Switzerland."

England did enough to beat Wales this afternoon and are closing in on qualification for Euro 2012.

England put in a professional display this afternoon as they beat Wales 2-0 in Cardiff.

It was a match with limited chances in which England scored two early goals and just managed their lead from that point onwards. Frank Lampard opened the scoring from the penalty spot after being matched at [9.8] in the first goalscorer market when Ashley Young was brought down and Darren Bent added a second after good work from Young again, this time crossing from the right. Aston Villa man Bent was matched at [4.8] to score at anytime.

There were seven bookings in the match despite it not being a dirty game in the slightest and one of them was for Wayne Rooney, which rules him out of England's next game at home to Switzerland.

There was also a rare clean sheet for England, backed at [2.12]. Fabio Capello's men were matched at a high of [1.56] during the week in the match odds market and are virtually nailed on for qualification to Euro 2012; they trade at just 1.07 to make it to the tournament.

As ever, despite never really threatening to win a major tournament, England are fancied for success and are the fourth favourites at 9.8. Spain (4.7), Germany (5.7) and the Netherlands (7.8) are ahead of them in the betting.

Mike Norman takes a brief look at Rep of Ireland's crucial home qualifier against FYR Macedonia and predicts a good night for the Irish and Robbie Keane....

An injury to Wales' star player and plenty of mutterings about the England captaincy have dominated the build-up to this match but the busines of making money from it now takes centre stage, says Jamie Pacheco....

Jack Houghton thought he had an edge on the market when first with the news of John Terry's return to captaincy - but Betfair customers were unmoved and it seems they were entirely right......


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