Saturday, March 3, 2012

The Four by Four column: A quartet of English football selections

Four By Four RSS / / 03 March 2012 / Leave a Comment

Bristol Rovers boss Mark McGhee

Bristol Rovers boss Mark McGhee

Lay Chelsea @ [2.0]; Back Under 2.5 Goals in Crystal Palace v Peterborough @ [1.88]; Back The Draw in Colchester v Preston @ [3.5]; Back Bristol Rovers @ [1.66]; The Multiple pays approximately [22.0]

Every weekend, four of betting.betfair's football writers will contribute one selection each from the top four leagues in English football, giving you, the readers, an exciting Multiple option.


West Brom v Chelsea, KO: Saturday 15:00, Match Odds: West Brom [4.3], Chelsea [2.02], The Draw [3.6]

It probably takes a brave man to a) oppose West Brom at the Hawthorns after their last two league performances, and b) back Chelsea away from home given their current form away from Stamford Bridge. But that's partially the reason why we can back the Blues at odds against for this encounter.

Albion have scored nine in their last two league games but one of those games was against a poor Wolves side and the other was against a Sunderland side that simply didn't turn up. Prior to last week West Brom had taken just a single point from the last 18 available to them on home soil at that is the form I'm prepared to concentrate on here.

Chelsea haven't been brilliant of late admittedly but the fact remains they have lost just one of their last eight away games in the league, and I thought they put in a good performance when losing to Napoli in their last away trip. They got back to winning ways last weekend and I fancy them to record back-to-back league wins at the Baggies expense.

Mike Norman's selection: Back Chelsea @ [2.02]


Crystal Palace v Peterborough, KO: Saturday 15:00, Match Odds: Crystal Palace [2.04], Peterborough [4.1], The Draw [3.7]

If you ignore the 4-0 rout of Watford last time (and being a Watford fan, I'm keen to) Crystal Palace have not been frequent scorers at home: in their previous nine games at Selhurt Park they netted just six times, and never more than once in any fixture. Their home fixtures produced an average of only 1.8 goals, the lowest in the division.

Visitors Peterborough have had a reputation as the Championship's goal merchants, but that has been less of the case since December. They have averaged less than a goal a game in their last 12 fixtures, and have only once scored more than a goal in any of those games. Indeed, Under 2.5 Goals would have been a winning bet in six of their last seven away matches - marry that with the fact that more than 70% of Palace home fixtures would have paid out on the same market, and Unders is the way to go.

Andrew French's selection: Back Under 2.5 Goals @ [1.88]


Colchester v Preston, KO: Saturday 15:00, Match Odds: Colchester [2.14], Preston [3.9], The Draw [3.5]

A classic mid-table tussle this weekend involving 12th against 13th. Colchester have drawn their last two games against Oldham and Rochdale with manager John Ward describing their most recent performance as 'strong rather than gifted'.

The Essex side are physical and can rely on set-pieces. Ward changed his formation slightly against Oldham last Saturday, rather than the more narrow set-up against Rochdale. However, they can struggle to carve open teams and find scoring opportunities.

Preston have conceded just two goals in their last three games - which is not a surprise under their new boss Graham Westley. His footballing philosophy is not to give goals away. The bedrock of all Westley side's remains the defensive organisation, and his time at Deepdale continues to be a work in progress.

In short, both could cancel each other out with the draw making most appeal.

Alan Dudman's selection: Back The Draw @ [3.5]


Bristol Rovers v Macclesfield, KO: Saturday 15:00, Match Odds: Bristol Rovers [1.66], Macclesfield [6.2], The Draw [4.0]

Odds-makers have definitely caught up with the improvement in the Pirates since Mark McGhee took over from Paul Buckle. One defeat in seven tells you why, even if the last three games have produced one goal in their favour, but reaped four points. Not everything can be expected to go right in the rebuilding process. Now, however, mid-table security gives the hosts a basis on which to build. Scott McGleish, Eliot Richards and Chris Zebroski are enjoying themselves, it seems. Macclesfield are not. A Michael Duberry own goal giving them a point against Oxford and a George Donnelly last-gasp equaliser to deny Plymouth is hardly reason for huge celebration for Paul Simpson, whose side lost eight on the trot before those two points. Back the hosts.

Ian Lamont's selection: Back Bristol Rovers @ [1.66]


Recommended Multiple

Lay Chelsea @ [2.0]; Back Under 2.5 Goals in Crystal Palace v Peterborough @ [1.88]; Back The Draw in Colchester v Preston @ [3.5]; Back Bristol Rovers @ [1.66]; The Multiple pays approximately [22.0]

Every weekend, four of betting.betfair's football writers will contribute one selection each from the top four leagues in English football, giving you, the readers, an exciting Multiple option....

Every weekend, four of betting.betfair's football writers will contribute one selection each from the top four leagues in English football, giving you, the readers, an exciting Multiple option....

Every weekend, four of betting.betfair's football writers will contribute one selection each from the top four leagues in English football, giving you, the readers, an exciting Multiple option....


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