Wednesday, August 31, 2011

US Open Daily Tips: Sabine and the has been

US Open Betting RSS / Sean Calvert / 31 August 2011 / Leave a Comment

Sabine Lisiscki is one of the few players who can compete with Venus Williams on the power stakes

Sabine Lisiscki is one of the few players who can compete with Venus Williams on the power stakes

"Hopefully the post-match talking point will be about the tennis and not about whatever foul, tasteless, fashion creation Venus will have sported. We should only have to suffer it once though, as Lisicki should end the hopes of Williams and she’s a backable [1.71] to do just that in their third career meeting."

Sean Calvert tells us why Sabine Lisicki should be far too strong for her multiple Grand Slam winner opponent tonight and what other good bets lie in wait for us on day three of the US Open.

As good as Monday was at the 2011 US Open, Tuesday was equally as bad, with some bizarre matches and a couple of painful losses for me.

Aravane Rezai tried to hit a winner from every shot and ended up spraying the ball to all parts, while Ivan Dodig and Nikolay Davydenko played out a weird five-setter that the Russian nicked.

At least another of my 'five potential first round upsets' came in when Steve Darcis beat Dmitry Tursunov at a handy price, so it wasn't all bad.

Wednesday sees the arrival of Andy Murray to the tournament - on Ashe - when he takes on Somdev Devvarman, the talented Indian player.

The Scot should come through in straight sets, but he's unbackable, so a much better proposition can be found in the match afterwards on Ashe, which should be a cracker - Sabine Lisicki v Venus Williams.

Hopefully the post-match talking point will be about the tennis and not about whatever foul, tasteless, fashion creation Venus will have sported.

We should only have to suffer it once though, as Lisicki should end the hopes of Williams and she's a backable [1.71] to do just that in their third career meeting.

Williams is down at number 36 in the rankings these days and like her compatriot, Andy Roddick, is feeding off former glories in the twilight of her career.

She's played just the one match since Wimbledon and that won't be enough against the German, who is in great form, having just won in Dallas. She is very much a player on the up after enduring a nightmare time with injuries.

On the men's side, the safest bet looks to be that Marcos Baghdatis and John Isner will go over 40.5 games at around [1.8].

This pair will be sick of the sight of each other after this, having met twice in this swing already, with Isner winning both. But the Bagman raises his game at Slams and this one could be great late night entertainment.

But the best value of the day looks to be Julien Benneteau at around [2.92] to beat Nico Almagro in the first match of the day on the new Court 17.

If Benny isn't exhausted from his marathon effort in Winston-Salem last week - and he's had a few days off since then - I don't see any reason why he can't win this.

Almagro hasn't been impressive on anything but the red dirt this year and won't be that confident after being thrashed 6-2, 6-2 by Tomas Berdych in Cincy.

Benny has been in prime form since coming back from a long term wrist injury and has won 11 of his last 13 matches - losing only to Rafa Nadal and Isner.

This could go long too and over 38.5 games at [1.86] is worth an interest as well.

Recommended bets:

Back Lisicki to beat Williams @ [1.71]
Back over 40.5 games in Isner v Baghdatis @ [1.75]
Back Benneteau to beat Almagro at [3.05]
Back over 38.5 games in Almagro v Benneteau @ [1.86]

Ben Caudell explains why he expects an in-form Brazilian to upset an ailing American at Flushing Meadow today. Meanwhile, there's a lay of the day in the women's draw......

"And I'm on Kavcic tonight, you know my stats don't lie and I'm starting to feel it's right...to oppose Ivan Ljubicic", Ben Caudell chants from underneath his pile of stats books. Here are today's two bets....

Sean's buzzing after a successful start to a fortnight at Flushing Meadows. Can he land another pair of value bets on day two?...


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