Saturday, August 30, 2014

Lays of the Weekend: Brighton and Preston vulnerable

"Charlton have lost just one in four against the Seagulls and on a mere one of their previous five trips to Brighton."
Lay Brighton to beat Charlton @ 1.845/6

Michael Lintorn sticks to the strategy that has yielded five winning lays out of six: a team from each Football League tier...

Lay Brighton to beat Charlton @ 1.845/6

This writer is unconvinced by Brighton boss Sami Hyypia due to how rapidly and irreparably things soured at Bayer Leverkusen last season. Though two wins and two losses might appear a reasonable Championship start for the Finn, the fixture list has been gentle, the victories arriving against lowly Leeds and Bolton while they were felled by unremarkable Sheffield Wednesday and Birmingham.

Meanwhile, Charlton's dramatically reconfigured squad have blended swiftly, occupying a play-off place following an unbeaten start in which they have defeated two of the early title favourites in Wigan and Derby. Two further advantages for the Addicks are that they have lost just one in four against the Seagulls since promotion and on a mere one of their previous five trips to Brighton.


Lay Preston to beat Sheffield United @ 2.01/1

Sheffield United's tally of six points from four League One games won't unnerve Preston, but it is a decent return given that they opened the campaign against a quartet of viable top-six contenders (Bristol City, Coventry, Peterborough and Crawley). They are also beginning to hit form, overcoming Peterborough and Crawley before a shootout success at Premier League side West Ham in midweek.

Preston are two points better off, but acquired those from a less taxing set of matches, and have been unintimidating at Deepdale, being held by Notts County and creeping past Oldham 1-0. They only vanquished one fellow top-seven adversary at their long-term home in 2013/14, with Sheffield United yet to experience defeat on their three League One visits, winning two and drawing one.


Lay Cambridge United to beat Carlisle @ 2.111/10

This is the least conviction-coated of this week's recommendations because Carlisle haven't settled too snugly on their return to League Two, yet some straightforward mathematics indicate that they warrant some support. The Cumbrians were two divisions and 28 places superior to the U's last term and there hasn't been enough evidence to suggest that gap has been eroded in less than a month.

Cambridge's sole triumph since regaining Football League status came when riding post-promotion momentum through Plymouth on the opening day. They have since exhausted that supply with a four-game winless run. Carlisle by contrast were suffering the effects of a relegation hangover to lose their initial three 2014/15 encounters, improving to draw the latter two against top-eight clubs.


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