Showing posts with label suggests. Show all posts
Showing posts with label suggests. Show all posts

Friday, April 26, 2013

Follow The Money: Cash for Chil suggests Kite can fly home

Recommended Bets

Lay The Cockney Mackem @ 2.506/4 14:20 Perth
Back Chil The Kite @ 7.413/2 14:45 Sandown
Back Rivellino @ 4.57/2 16:45 Doncaster

The Follow The Money team have been scouring the markets and they've come with a selection from each of the meetings at Doncaster, Perth, and Sandown...


The Cockney Mackem has been drifting alarmingly all morning in the 14:20 at Perth. He can now be backed at 2.3611/8 from around the 1.8810/11 mark in early exchanges. This Twiston-Davies trained runner does look the one to be with on paper. However, he is rated a better chaser than hurdler, and gives the impression that he doesn't like to get his head in front too often anyway. The Cockney Mackem hasn't won a race since his bumper debut, and must rate as a lay at the price today.

Moving to Sandown now for the 14:45 Group 2 mile race where Chil The Kite has seen solid support, moving from 11.010/1 early doors to 7.413/2 currently. It's interesting to see such market confidence for a colt that, while a decent performer last year, looked just short of group level. Hughie Morrison has gained the services of Ryan Moore who enjoyed a productive time on this horse, having gained two wins from two rides on him on good ground last Summer. If we ignore his last run in November on bottomless ground in France, the selection fits the profile of an improving horse and he might just take the step up in class in his stride.

Rivellino has been just about the best backed horse of the day in the 6f handicap at Doncaster. This progressive looking inmate of Mrs Karl Burke's has been backed off the boards moving from 8.615/2 in to 4.57/2. A useful looking debut third at Ascot was followed by a flop at Ayr, though the heavy ground that day undoubtedly played its part. Rivellino got his head in front at the third time of asking at Kempton in November, with a decent performance on a fast surface. Today's good to firm going should really suit this Invincible Spirit colt and he is taken to gain a second career win on only his fourth start.


Recommended Bets

Lay The Cockney Mackem @ 2.506/4 14:20 Perth
Back Chil The Kite @ 7.413/2 14:45 Sandown
Back Rivellino @ 4.57/2 16:45 Doncaster

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Tuesday, April 9, 2013

Follow The Money: Cash for Rosebud suggests it's all Yellow

Recommended Bets

Back Coach House @ 2.226/5 Curragh 14:10
Lay Village Vic @ 3.45n/a Ascot 14:15
Back Yellow Rosebud @ 5.95/1 Curragh 15:20

Today's Follow The Money movers come from the meetings at Ascot and Curragh...


Our first selection runs in the opener at Curragh today, the Irish Stallion European Breeders Fund Maiden at 14:10. This is a race that the powerful Aidan O'Brien stable do target, having sent out the favourite in the last three renewals and the winner in two of those races. Today's event looks like no exception with the unraced Coach House having been backed this morning from 3.185/40 in to 2.226/5 and with the trainer's son, Joseph, looking to repeat last year's success, when aboard Infanta Branca, all the stats favour the jolly.

To Ascot now and today's lay which comes in the shape of Village Vic in the maiden at 14:15. Having been matched for money at 2.829/5 Philip Hobbs' charge has drifted out to 3.45n/a. The gelding's early season form when second to The New One stands up to close scrutiny but, having disappointed at the festival when beaten 44 lengths, it is not surprising that, at the price, Village Vic is being taken on today.

We're back over the water for our final selection and in the Curragh Group 3 7f race at 15:20 Yellow Rosebud has been quietly supported from 7.413/2 in to 5.95/1. With several wins in this grade last year, the filly was sent off odds on when beaten on her seasonal debut but did not show her best when beaten by Rehn's Nest. Today's money suggests that she will be spot on for this race and that bigger things are expected of her.


Recommended Bets

Back Coach House @ 2.226/5 Curragh 14:10
Lay Village Vic @ 3.45n/a Ascot 14:15
Back Yellow Rosebud @ 5.95/1 Curragh 15:20


Gary Naylor

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