HJK Helsinki take on Celtic in the second leg of the Champions League Qualifying tie this evening at 18:00 and the market is suggesting that the Scots will keep it tight, resulting in a low scoring match. Paul Robinson has other ideas though...
HJK put up a solid display in the first leg at Celtic Park, taking the lead just after half time before conceding two quick goals around the hour mark. While it was a loss for Antti Muurinen's men, it's still a decent platform to build off as they are only one behind and have a crucial away goal. While the Finnish Veikkausliga isn't quite as strong as the SPL, HJK will take heart from their stunning home form that has seen them go on a 14 match undefeated run, winning 11 times. The key to their success has been their scoring power as they netted at least twice in all but three of those matches.
Celtic are still a big name across Europe, but even the most die-hard of Hoops fans must admit that they aren't quite the force that they once were. It will just be an achievement to reach the group stage of this competition and in all honesty, I have my doubts about them progressing from this round. Neil Lennon's men go into this tie in a precarious position and with influential midfielder and captain Scott Brown not 100% http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/19074394 I can't see how they can go and play for a draw. Looking through Celtic's Champions League results, they have just one win in their last 22 away fixtures and they've conceded 11 goals in their last five.
I believe that Neil Lennon will send his Celtic side out to grab an away goal this evening and that will open up the door for HJK to continue their high scoring, impressive home form, so with under 2.5 goals trading around the 1.875/6 mark, I have to make it my lay of the day.
Recommended Bet
Lay Under 2.5 goals in HJK Helsinki v Celtic @ 1.875/6
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