Italian Football 
/ Dave Farrar / 23 March 2012 / Leave a Comment 
On the Mirko. Juventus star Vucinic scored in midweek against AC Milan and might have another good game at home to Inter
"Only Genoa and Napoli have managed to score against them more than once in a game, and Inter’s shot shy forward line don’t look capable of causing them undue worry. It might seem outlandish, but I’m interested in “Any Unquoted” in the Correct Score market at 10.0."
Given Inter's struggles this season, the Derby D'Italia may be less competitive than usual. In fact, Juventus may well trample all over their old rivals. Particularly if the enigmatic Mirko Vucinic 'shows up', says Dave Farrar.
Inter's worst ever Serie A defeat came against Juve back in 1961. That 9-1 scoreline is unlikely to be repeated this Sunday night, but there's no question that Juve start as strong favourites to win, and that the spectre of a thrashing hangs over Claudio Ranieri's side.
After going though a month in which they seemed to have lost their attacking mojo, Juve have rediscovered it. They were helped by Alessio Cerci's ridiculous sending off, but were still brilliant at Fiorentina last week, and then they finally got the better of Milan after one of the great Cup semi finals in midweek. The key to their resurgence has been the form of Mirko Vucinic. The man from Montenegro can stroll around like a surly psychopath, but when he puts that emotional energy to good use, he is as good as any striker in Serie A. If, as the saying goes, he "turns up" against Inter, then he could be just about unplayable.
Juve are unbeaten in their last five meetings against Inter, and their success this season has been based on a near watertight backline. Only Genoa and Napoli have managed to score against them more than once in a game, and Inter's shot shy forward line don't look capable of causing them undue worry. It might seem outlandish, but I'm interested in "Any Unquoted" in the Correct Score market at [10.0] as I do think that there's the potential for Juve to rip Inter apart, and I want that on my side. Juve are [1.69] for the win, which I think is surprisingly big, but the price that I'm really keen on is the [1.9] about Juve conceding 0.5 and 1.0 on the Asian Handicap.
They're by far and away the likelier winners here and I expect them to do so by at least two goals. All that Juve can do is win and hope that Milan slip up. That may not happen, but they should at least have a "Derby D'Italia" win to celebrate come Sunday night.
Recommendation Juventus -0.5 and 1.0 on the Asian Handicap @ [1.9]
Any Unquoted" in the Correct Score Market @ [10.0]
Napoli v Catania
They're out of the Champions League, but Napoli at least have a Coppa Italia final against Juventus to look forward to.
They sealed the win against Siena with one of the goals of the season so far, and look ready for a strong finish to the season. By the way, if you haven't seen Edinson Cavani's semi final strike yet, then do yourself a favour and take a look.
Catania will not make life easy for the home team, as they come to the San Paolo having gone three games in a row without conceding in Serie A. A fourth clean sheet would be a record, and there's even a feeling around that Catania could take advantage of a tiring Napoli side and crown their recent great form with a shock win. If you can see that happening, then Vincenzo Montella's side are available at [6.4] for the victory, but I don't share the opinion of the Napoli coach Walter Mazzarri that it would be a "miracle" if his side were to win on Sunday.
That seems to be a case of downplaying expectations rather than any application of cold logic. Catania are capable of causing problems though, and I think that this tactical matchup is one which seems certain to produce goals. "Overs" are available at [1.9], and even though Catania's recent trend is of low scoring games, indications are that they may be more adventurous on Sunday, and that could combine with Napoli's firepower to provide quite a spectacle.
Recommendation Over 2.5 Goals in Napoli v Catania @ [1.9]
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