Wednesday, February 9, 2011

International Friendly Betting: Germany v Italy

Internationals RSS / Tobias Gourlay / 08 February 2011 / Leave a Comment

Klose encounter: One goal might make all the difference in Dortmund.

Klose encounter: One goal might make all the difference in Dortmund.

"Klose doesn’t let a lack of club form impact his international performances and he has scored in 7/9 appearances for his country since the start of last summer’s World Cup."

Tobias Gourlay has identified one player who could be the difference between Germany and Italy on Wednesday night.

Germany have a good opportunity to end a 16-year winless streak against Italy on Wednesday night.

Italy's coach, Cesare Prandelli, has already named his team. Without Andrea Pirlo, Gennaro Gattuso and Mario Balotelli, he is giving a debut to Thiago Motta and reuniting former Sampdoria colleagues Giampaolo Pazzini and Antonio Cassano upfront.

Giuseppe Rossi, highly rated in these parts, might have started as the third forward in a 4-3-3, but Prandelli is concerned about his squad's fitness levels. He is also aware that the formation is a work in progress. Expect substitutions early and often.

The Azzurri haven't won an away friendly in more than five years (W0-D4-L3). Some big players missed training for Germany on Tuesday - Lahm, Schweinsteiger, Muller, Ozil and Khedira among them - but if Joachim Low names a strong starting lineup the Mannschaft's [1.88] win price will be justified.

Six of those seven Italy games have stayed Under 2.5 Goals, so a single goal could make a difference on Wednesday. In that case, who better to have in your team than Miroslav Klose?

Mario Gomez is definitely out and Low has said that Klose will start in his place. The veteran hasn't played a full match for Bayern Munich this year, so the coach might let him play most of tomorrow's game. Klose doesn't let a lack of club form impact his international performances and he has scored in 7/9 appearances for his country since the start of last summer's World Cup. Keep an eye out for clues about how Low plans to use him, but [3.0] might be too long a price on him in the To Score market.

Best Bet: Back Miroslav Klose To Score at [3.0] v Italy

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Tobias Gourlay has identified one player who could be the difference between Germany and Italy on Wednesday night....

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