Sunday, February 13, 2011

Follow The Money: Rey to reign

Follow the Money RSS / Follow The Money / 13 February 2011 / Leave a Comment

008 Follow the Money

"Moving on to Hereford now and the 16:00 class 4 handicap chase where Rey Nacarado has come in for some solid support being backed from a high of [6.8] in to [5.5]. This progressive six year old has taken to fences well and has shown some decent ability in this class."

THe FTM boys give us their two best backs and their best lay based on Betfair price movements.

For today's Follow The Money movers we go to the cards at Exeter and Hereford.

Starting in the 15:10 Betfair Graduation Chase over 3 miles at Exeter where good support for Bench Warrent has been noted. A dramatic shift in price from an early [14.0] in to [7.6] suggests confidence is high in what looks like a tricky race. Exeter is well known as one of the stiffest tracks around and with the forecast soft going, this will provide a real stamina test for all involved. Bench Warrent doesn't get his nose in front too often, but his best form can be found in stamina sapping tests such as this, so given that conditions are right, coupled with such good support, he must enter calculations today.

Moving on to Hereford now and the 16:00 class 4 handicap chase where Rey Nacarado has come in for some solid support being backed from a high of [6.8] in to [5.5]. This progressive six year old has taken to fences well and has shown some decent ability in this class. A good win in similar conditions to today at Plumpton in December was followed up with a third place in a class 3 on good to soft at Kempton 29 days ago. He's down 2lb for that and a big run is expected today.

We return to Exeter for our negative of the day and we need look no further than the friendless Mamlook in the 16:40 class 3 novices chase who has drifted from [1.69] out to [2.62]. On the face of it this dramatic negative move is slightly hard to quantify given that he's certainly the class horse on paper in this field. However, there have been sneaking worries that the soft ground will suit others better than him today, while good market support has been noted for a couple of his rivals including the second in the betting Cool Friend. It's always worth noting market drifts as dramatic as this one and maybe Mamlook is one worth taking on.


Recommendations:

Back Bench Warrent @ [7.6] Exeter 15:10
Back Rey Nacarado @ [5.5] Hereford 16:00
Lay Mamlook @ [2.62] Exeter 16:40

Timeform handicapper Gregg Taylor analyses the performances of three winners from Saturday who are all set to be seen next on the opening day of the Festival......

Timeform look ahead to what next week has to offer, which includes the Betfair Chase at Ascot on Saturday as well as Haydock's Grand National Trial......

The Cheltenham showpiece; jumps racing's Blue Riband; the Gold Cup: whatever you call it, the feature on the last day of the Cheltenham Festival remains the most prestigious race at the most prestigious jumps meeting in the world. With six weeks to go until the big day, Keith Melrose takes a look at the main contenders....


Play Casino & Poker here

No comments:

Post a Comment